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Stocks tumble on cautious Fed tone

US stocks plunged on Wednesday as the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced a more cautious approach to interest rate cuts for 2025. This shift led to a significant rise in Treasury yields, which triggered a broad sell-off in equities. Asian markets followed suit, trading lower on Thursday. The euro and Swiss franc weakened significantly against the US dollar following the Fed's announcements. Later Thursday, the Bank of England is expected to keep rates on hold when it announces its latest monetary policy decision.

Date
Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Reading time
5 minutes

Federal Reserve
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US stocks dropped sharply on Wednesday as the Fed signalled fewer interest rate cuts for 2025, with only two cuts planned instead of the previously anticipated four. The Fed reduced its policy rate to the 4.25%-4.50% range on Wednesday, emphasising that further cuts depend on significant progress in reducing persistent inflation. This announcement led to a surge in Treasury yields, with the benchmark ten-year yield topping 4.5%, its highest level in over six months. The interest rate spike caused a broad sell-off in the equity market. The Dow Jones Industrial dropped 2.6% to 42,326.87 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 fell 3% and 3.6%, respectively. Stocks related to artificial intelligence, including Nvidia and Broadcom, experienced notable losses.

BOJ holds rates, yen hits one-month low

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) maintained its benchmark interest rate at 0.25% on Thursday, contrary to many economists' expectations of a 25-basis-point hike. The decision led to a 0.3% weakening of the yen against the dollar, reaching a one-month low of more than 155. The BOJ cited ongoing uncertainties in economic activity and prices, with a potential rate hike still anticipated in January.

Asian stocks follow Wall Street down

Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region were trading lower on Thursday, following Wall Street's sharp decline. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was down 0.8%, and Korea’s Kospi fell 2%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was trading 1.7% lower. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slipped 0.6%, while mainland China’s CSI 300 was essentially flat.

UK inflation rises ahead of monetary policy decision

UK inflation increased to 2.6% in November, up from 2.3% in October, driven by higher prices for motor fuels and clothing, according to the Office for National Statistics on Wednesday. This rise complicates the Bank of England's policy decisions as it faces persistent inflation and a stagnating economy. The Bank is expected to maintain interest rates at 4.75% on Thursday, despite recent wage growth and economic strain from tax policies. Core inflation also rose to 3.5% in November, while services inflation remained high at 5%.

Euro-area inflation outpaces ECB target

The euro-area annual inflation rate increased to 2.2% in November from 2% in October, according to Eurostat data released on Wednesday. This compares to a rate of 2.4% in November 2023. In the broader European Union, inflation rose to 2.5% in November 2024 from 2.3% in October, down from 3.1% a year earlier. The European Central Bank (ECB) targets inflation of 2% over the medium term.

European stock indices showed mixed results on Wednesday. The Euro Stoxx 50 edged up 0.3%, while Germany’s DAX was essentially flat, dipping by a negligible amount. France’s CAC 40 gained 0.3%, whereas the Swiss Market Index fell 0.9%.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Accenture and Nike.

Economic data in focus: Swiss trade balance (08:00), German GfK Consumer Climate (08:00), Riksbank interest rate decision (09:30), Bank of England interest rate decision (13:00), US gross domestic product (14:30), US weekly initial jobless claims (14:30), Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (14:30).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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