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Tech earnings in focus as oil drop boosts stocks

Stock markets around the globe traded mostly higher early in the week, supported by falling oil prices. US equities advanced ahead of Big Tech earnings this week, with Google parent company Alphabet and chipmaker AMD reporting on Tuesday. In Asia, markets were still digesting the aftermath of Japan’s elections.

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Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
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5 minutes

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US stock markets gained on Monday following a significant drop in oil prices due to easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.7% to 42,387.57 points, recovering from a nearly 3% decline last week. The broader S&P 500 rose by 0.3% to 5,823.52 points, while the Nasdaq 100 remained essentially flat at 20,351.07 points. Lower oil prices reduce inflationary pressures, potentially allowing the Federal Reserve more flexibility for interest rate cuts, and benefit companies with high energy costs. Meanwhile, the US dollar index is poised for its largest monthly increase since April 2022, bolstered by a robust US economy and market expectations of a Republican sweep in the upcoming election.

Oil prices decline amid hopes for de-escalation in Middle East

Crude oil prices fell sharply to start the week as limited Israeli strikes on Iran reduced fears of a wider conflict in the region. The strikes avoided key oil infrastructure, causing WTI crude to drop around USD 67, while Brent crude decreased to near USD 71. The market's focus is shifting back to broader price drivers, with OPEC+ scheduled to begin reversing production cuts in December, despite weaker-than-expected demand in Asia, particularly from China.

Nikkei gains despite election turmoil, yen drops

Asia-Pacific markets showed mixed performance on Tuesday as Japan's Nikkei 225 increased 0.6%, continuing its upward trend despite the ruling Liberal Democratic Party losing its parliamentary majority. The increase was supported by Japan's unemployment rate for September, which fell to 2.4% from 2.5% in August, slightly better than expected.

The Japanese yen reached a three-month low against the US dollar, following the ruling coalition's election defeat, which has heightened political and monetary policy uncertainty. The dollar surged to 153.88 yen before the yen partially recovered, marking a more than 6% decline in October. Traders are cautious ahead of the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting later this week.

Elsewhere in in the Asia-Pacific region, stocks were trading mostly higher on Tuesday. Korea’s Kospi rose 0.2%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 gained 0.3%, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index increased by 0.5%. In contrast, mainland China’s CSI 300 was down 0.7%.

Volkswagen plans mass layoffs and plant closures

Volkswagen announced plans on Monday to close at least three factories in Germany and lay off tens of thousands of employees as part of a significant cost-cutting overhaul. The company, facing high energy and labour costs, competition from Asia, and a slower-than-expected transition to electric vehicles, also intends to cut salaries by at least 10% and freeze pay in 2025 and 2026. Volkswagen's shares dropped 1% on Monday. The German government has come under pressure recently to support heavy industry as challenges such as weak trade and soaring energy prices pressure local manufacturers’ business models.

European stock indices posted modest gains on Monday. The STOXX Europe 600 remained flat, while Germany’s DAX rose 0.4%, and France’s CAC 40 increased by 0.8%. The Swiss Market Index advanced 0.5%.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Adidas, Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, BP, Covestro, Electronic Arts, HSBC, Lufthansa, Novartis, PayPal, Pfizer, and Visa.

Economic data in focus: German GfK Consumer Climate, US Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, US JOLTS jobs report, Bank of Canada Governor Macklem speaks.

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