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US manufacturing activity recovers

US manufacturing activity showed signs of recovery on Monday. Meanwhile, European manufacturing continued to struggle, and political turmoil in France added to market concerns. A tech rally propelled the Nasdaq to new record highs, despite a dip in the Dow Jones Industrial on Monday, while European markets closed higher. Asian markets also rallied on Tuesday, with semiconductor stocks advancing despite new US export restrictions on China's chip industry.

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Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
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5 minutes

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US manufacturing activity improved in November, with the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) increasing to 48.4 from 46.5 in October and beating market expectations. New orders grew for the first time in eight months, with the sub-index rising to 50.4, while input prices declined significantly. Despite these gains, the PMI remained below the 50 threshold, indicating continued contraction in the sector. The improvements come amid expectations of more business-friendly policies from the incoming Trump administration.

US stocks mixed as tech rally continues

US stock markets showed mixed results on Monday. The Dow Jones Industrial fell by 0.3% to 44,782.00 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 reached new record highs, rising by 0.2% and 1.1%, respectively. The ISM Manufacturing improvement and support from Federal Reserve official Christopher Waller for a rate cut in December supported sentiment. Big Tech such as Apple, Amazon and Tesla shares led the tech rally.

Meanwhile, Intel shares lost 0.5% after CEO Pat Gelsinger resigned at the weekend, leaving before completing his four-year turnaround plan for the struggling chipmaker. The company appointed CFO David Zinsner and senior executive Michelle Johnston Holthaus as interim co-CEOs. The stock is down over 50% this year.

European manufacturing contracts sharply in November

In contrast to the US, European manufacturing activity contracted sharply in November, with the euro zone's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) dropping to 45.2 from 46.0 in October, remaining below the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction. This continued decline reflects ongoing weakness in the sector, which has been contracting since mid-2022. The euro area faces additional risks from impending tariffs by US President-elect Donald Trump, compounding challenges in Germany, France, and the UK, where manufacturing sectors are also struggling. The Euro Stoxx 50 gained 0.9% and Germany’s DAX shot up 1.6% on Monday.

Pending French government collapse worries markets

Adding to economic woes on the continent was the political battle in France to start the week. Far-right and left-wing parties submitted no-confidence motions on Monday against Prime Minister Michel Barnier, after he invoked special constitutional powers to push through a contested 2025 budget. The vote, expected on Wednesday, could oust the government. The political turmoil has heightened market concerns, with France's borrowing costs reaching Greek levels last week. France’s CAC40 was the worst performer among the major European indices on Monday, ending the session essentially flat.

Asian stocks rally despite new US curbs

Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region followed Wall Street higher on Tuesday. Korea’s Kospi increased by 1.8% after a data release showed the nation’s inflation rate increased to 1.5% in November from 1.3% in October, lower than the market’s expectation of 1.7%. The Bank of Korea cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 3% last Thursday, its second consecutive reduction, to counter economic risks.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 was up 1.8% and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 gained 0.6%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index advanced 0.8% and mainland China’s CSI 300 was trading 0.2% higher.

Notably, Asian semiconductor stocks mostly advanced on Tuesday, undeterred by new US export restrictions targeting China's chip industry. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company as well as Japanese firms Tokyo Electron and Lasertec saw significant increases. The US Department of Commerce's latest measures aim to limit China's access to advanced chip technology, potentially impacting major memory chip producers like South Korea's SK Hynix and Samsung, which nonetheless experienced stock gains.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Salesforce.

Economic data in focus: Swiss Consumer Price Index (08:30), US JOLTS jobs report (16:00).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
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