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While markets await key US inflation data and earnings report, tech stocks struggle

Equity indices in the US and across Europe declined at the beginning of the week after yields climbed to multi-month highs and concerns grew that the Federal Reserve would proceed with caution when it comes to further interest rate cuts. In New York and in Asia, tech stocks continued to weigh on the market. Meanwhile, The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of rivals, hit its highest level in more than two years on Monday. Investors are now anticipating the release of the US consumer price index on Wednesday.

Date
Author
Alessandro Fezzi, LGT Research Content & Publications
Reading time
5 minutes

Volatility
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Equity markets in the Asian-Pacific region mostly advanced on Tuesday following a mixed session on Wall Street. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index increased by 1.8%, and mainland China’s CSI 300 climbed 1.7%. Conversely, Japan's Nikkei 225 dropped 2.1%, while Japan’s 40-year government bond yield rose to 2.755, its highest on record at since 2007. South Korea’s Kospi traded up 0.3% while the Kosdaq added 0.8%. Investors are also monitoring India's rupee after it hit a record low against the US dollar, with December inflation data showing a decrease to 5.2%, supporting potential interest rate cuts.

US tech sector struggles despite recovery

US technology stocks attempted to recover on Monday, closing with narrowed losses as concerns over tariffs, inflation, and interest rates, coupled with rising US Treasury yields, continued to weigh on the market. The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.3% to 20,784.72 points. Technology shares suffered due to new AI export restrictions from the Biden administration, with Nvidia and Micron shares dropping 2% and 4.3%, respectively. The broader S&P 500 gained 0.2% to 5836.22 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose nearly 0.9% to 42,297.12 points. In corporate news, Johnson & Johnson announced a USD 14.6 billion acquisition of Intra-Cellular Therapies. Moderna shares plunged 16.8% after the company slashed its revenue target for the year.

US Treasury yields rise ahead of inflation data

The ten-year US government bond yield climbed by one basis point to 4.78%, extending gains from last week's jobs report, while the two-year yield rose three basis points to 4.42%. The recent rise in yields reflects expectations of a cautious approach from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate cuts, amidst signs of economic strength and uncertainty from upcoming policy changes. While Goldman Sachs reduced its 2025 rate cut forecast from three to two, Bank of America now sees a potential rate hike from the Federal Reserve as the next step. Markets will now focus on the producer price index due today, followed by the consumer price index on Wednesday.

European stocks decline amid economic concerns

Equity markets in Europe continued to decline on Monday, driven by a mix of tariff, inflation, and interest rate concerns. Strong US labour market data released on Friday, coupled with dampened consumer sentiment due to inflation worries, has increased uncertainty about the Federal Reserve's future interest rate policy. Market observers noted that the potential for further interest rate cuts, hoped for by investors, appears limited, especially as tariffs proposed by incoming US President Donald Trump could further drive inflation.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: There is no major corporate news scheduled today.

Economic data in focus: Italy industrial production (09:00) and US Producer Price Index (13:30).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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