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Political instability weighs on global markets

South Korea's financial markets faced turbulence on Wednesday despite the government’s pledge to inject unlimited liquidity following the lifting of martial law by President Yoon Suk Yeol. Meanwhile, investors are closely watching France, where a no-confidence vote could topple the government, further unsettling European markets. US stocks took a breather from recent highs, while Asian markets were trading mostly lower after various macroeconomic data releases on Wednesday.

Date
Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Reading time
5 minutes

Volatility
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South Korea's finance ministry announced on Wednesday its readiness to deploy unlimited liquidity into financial markets after President Yoon lifted a martial law declaration that had caused the won to plummet to multi-year lows. Following emergency talks, the Bank of Korea will commence special repo operations and loosen collateral policies to support market stability. Despite some recovery in the won and stock market, investors remain cautious about the country's long-term political stability, especially amid ongoing budget disputes between the government and the opposition-controlled parliament. The won recovered some of its losses versus the dollar by Wednesday morning, but South Korean stocks dropped sharply as opposition parties prepared to impeach Yoon. The Kospi dropped 1.3% on Wednesday while the Kosdaq was down almost 2%.

China services growth slows in November

The Caixin China Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) showed on Wednesday that China's service sector growth decelerated to a reading of 51.5 in November from 52.0 in October. Despite the slowdown, business confidence reached its highest level since April, and employment increased for the third consecutive month. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was essentially flat on Wednesday and mainland China’s CSI 300 dropped 0.6%.

Elsewhere in Asia, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was down 0.4% after the country’s real gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.3% in the third quarter, down from 1% in the previous quarter, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday. The growth missed market expectations. Annually, the economy expanded by 0.8%, below the expected 1.1% and the previous quarter's 1% rise.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading only slightly higher on Wednesday.

All eyes on France

The next bit of political instability for markets could come out of Europe on Wednesday. Investors are eagerly watching France, where members of parliament are set to vote on a motion of no confidence later in the day. The vote, which could oust the government, could further exacerbate market jitters, with France's borrowing costs reaching Greek levels last week. The Euro Stoxx 50 rose 0.6% on Tuesday, while France’s CAC 40 added 0.3%.

US job openings steady in October

US job openings remained stable at 7.7 million at the end of October, while hires and total separations also showed little change at 5.3 million each, according to data released on Tuesday. Over the year, job openings decreased by 941,000, and hires fell by 501,000. The data provided a calm backdrop for Tuesday’s trading session, allowing US stock markets to take a breather following recent record highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.2% to 44,705.53 points, while the S&P 500 edged up by 0.1% to 6,049.88 points. The Nasdaq 100 achieved another record, rising by 0.3% to 21,229.32 points.

Swiss inflation rises slightly in November

Swiss annual inflation increased to 0.7% in November from 0.6% in October, marking the first rise since April, according to data from the Federal Statistical Office on Tuesday. Despite this uptick, inflation remains within the lower end of the Swiss National Bank's target range of 0 to 2%, suggesting potential for further interest rate cuts. The modest increase is attributed to a base effect, as prices had fallen by 0.2% in the same month last year. Housing rents, which rose by 0.5% in November, were a significant contributor to the inflation rate. The Swiss Market Index ended Tuesday’s session essentially flat.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: There is no major corporate news scheduled today.

Economic data in focus: French PMI Composite Index (09:50), German PMI Composite Index (09:55), euro-area PMI Composite Index (10:00), Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey speaks (10:00), US ADP National Employment Report (14:15), European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde speaks (14:30 and 16:30), US ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (16:00), Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks (19:45), US Fed Beige Book (20:00).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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