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Stocks gain as trade war fears fade

Global stock markets rallied mid-week as the worst-case scenario in a potential conflict between the US its major trading partners seemed to be averted or at least postponed. Thursday, market participants will keep an eye on the Bank of England, which is expected to reduce interest rates, marking its third cut since the COVID-19 pandemic began amid persistent inflation and a sluggish economy. Investors are also focused on corporate earnings, with Amazon's fourth-quarter results under scrutiny following disappointing reports from Microsoft and Alphabet. 

Date
Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Reading time
5 minutes

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US stock markets rebounded on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing up 0.7% at 44,873.20 points, despite Alphabet's disappointing quarterly results. Alphabet's shares fell sharply, with A-shares down 7.3%, following lower-than-expected earnings from its cloud business. However, gains in other tech stocks like Nvidia, Broadcom, Marvell Technology, and Arm Holdings offset these losses. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 also posted gains of 0.4% each, closing at 6061.48 and 21,658.16 points, respectively.

Mixed US employment and PMI data

Private sector employment in the US grew by 183,000 jobs in January, according to the ADP National Employment Report released on Wednesday. Annual pay increased by 4.7% year-over-year. The report highlighted strong hiring in consumer-facing industries, while business services and production sectors saw weaker job growth. Meanwhile, the US services sector expanded for the seventh consecutive month in January, with the ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) falling to 52.8 from December's 54 points. The report noted that poor weather and concerns over potential US government tariffs affected business levels.

Asian stocks follow Wall Street higher

Asian shares increased on Thursday, following Wall Street's gains. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was up 0.6%, supported by expectations of further Bank of Japan rate hikes, which strengthened the yen. Korea’s Kospi gained 1.1% and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 surged 1.2%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index advanced 0.9%, while mainland China’s CSI 300 was up 1.0%. On Friday, India's central bank is expected to cut interest rates to support a slowing economy.

Eurozone business activity grows in January

Eurozone business activity returned to growth in January after two months of contraction, as demand stabilised, according to the final composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) released on Wednesday. The PMI rose to 50.2 from December's 49.6, indicating slight expansion. Growth was driven by the services sector, which offset a continued downturn in manufacturing. Despite increased demand, services firms showed slightly less optimism due to political uncertainties in Germany and France. European stock indices traded mostly higher on Wednesday. The Euro Stoxx 50 edged up 0.1%, while Germany’s DAX increased by 0.4%. France’s CAC 40, however, dipped 0.2%. The Swiss Market Index rose 0.7%.

Eurozone producer prices rise by 0.4%

Industrial producer prices in the eurozone and the EU increased by 0.4% in December 2024 compared to November 2024, according to Eurostat data released on Tuesday. This follows a 1.7% rise in both regions in November 2024. Annually, prices were stable in the euro area and rose by 0.1% in the EU compared to December 2023. The annual average for 2024 showed a decline of 4.2% in the eurozone and 4% in the EU compared to 2023.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Amazon, AstraZeneca, Bristol-Myers Squibb, ConocoPhillips, Eli Lilly, Honeywell, ING Group, Linde, L'Oréal, Mitsubishi, Siemens Healthineers, and Take-Two. Annual general meetings at Accenture and Compass Group.

Economic data in focus: euro-area retail sales (11:00), Bank of England interest rate decision (13:00), US weekly initial jobless claims (14:30), Canadian Purchasing Managers' Index (16:00), Bank of Canada Governor Macklem speaks (23:00).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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