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This week in focus - SNB interest rate decision

After a series of monetary policy decisions last week, and particularly the interest rate turnaround in the US, the interest rate decision of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) is now the focus of interest this week. On Wall Street, indices lost momentum on Friday, but the Dow was able to post another record high. Stock markets in Asia got off to a mostly friendly start to the new trading week today. 

Date
Author
Alessandro Fezzi, LGT Research Content & Publications
Reading time
5 minutes

Swiss National Bank
© Shutterstock

Over the next few days, investors can expect further impetus regarding monetary policy and economic development. The purchasing managers' surveys in Europe, the UK and the US will be published right at the beginning of the week. On Tuesday, the interest rate decision of the Australian central bank will be followed by the most important German economic barometer, the Ifo business climate index. On Thursday, all eyes will be on the SNB. After the Fed's significant interest rate cut, the SNB is now seen as more likely to follow suit and cut its key rates by 25 or perhaps even 50 basis points. The latest US data on consumer confidence, GDP, consumer spending and new orders for durable goods will also be released this week.

Friendly start to the week in Asia

Equity markets in the Asia-Pacific region mostly posted gains on Monday. Markets in Japan were closed on Monday for a public holiday. The Japanese yen weakened slightly against the US dollar to 144.35. In South Korea, the Kospi rose 0.3%, reversing its course after an opening low. The small-cap Kosdaq index traded 1.1% higher. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index inched up by nearly 0.8%, while the CSI 300 in mainland China rose by 0.6%. The latest data showed that China's youth unemployment rate rose for a second straight month to the highest level this year, according to the National Bureau of Statistics, as the labour market cools amid a faltering economy. In Australia, markets are eagerly awaiting the Reserve Bank of Australia's decision on Tuesday morning (European time). In advance of this, the Australian S&P/ASX 200 was trading just under 0.5% lower.

Outlook of US logistics group Fedex puts a damper on Wall Street

On the New York Stock Exchange, the chase for records ended on Friday in the wake of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate turnaround. Stock indices on the New York Stock Exchange closed little changed. The 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial entered the weekend at a record high of 42,063.36 points (+0.1%), up 1.6% last week. The S&P 500 ended Friday's trading at 5702.55 points (-0.2%). The technology exchange Nasdaq also lost around 0.2%. Over the course of the week, both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 rose by 1.4%. A gloomy outlook from FedEx attracted attention, as logistics companies are often used as an indicator of future economic development. Fedex cut its profit and revenue outlook for the fiscal year ending in May 2025 due to surprisingly weak demand after a disappointing quarter. The stock lost more than 15% in value as a result. At the other end of the spectrum, Intel's stock rose by almost 10% at times at the end of last week thanks to takeover speculation. The Wall Street Journal had reported that Qualcomm had made a takeover bid for Intel. In the end, Intel still ended up with a daily gain of 3%.

On Europe's stock markets, too, a profit warning from Mercedes-Benz on Friday caused a poor mood. The EuroStoxx 50 lost almost 1.5% on Friday.

Gold continues to break records

Amid falling central bank interest rates, the price of gold is currently breaking record after record. The precious metal is trading at just under USD 2630 per troy ounce. Since the beginning of the year, the price of gold has thus gained around 27% in value.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: No relevant company results are due today.

Economic data in focus: Purchasing Manager’s surveys eurozone, UK and US.
 

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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