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Markets between strong US inflation and Ukraine peace talks

US inflation data released on Wednesday revealed a surprising increase, causing Treasury yields to rise by ten basis points and putting pressure on equity markets. Despite this, stocks were trading strong in Asia on Thursday, supported by optimism over potential peace talks between Ukraine and Russia, after President Donald Trump said he had spoken to the leaders of both Russia and Ukraine. Oil prices fell over 3% with the prospect of lifted sanctions on Russian oil. The US dollar was unable to hold its recent strength on Wednesday, while gold remained firm, trading around USD 2920, just below its all-time high. 

Date
Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Reading time
5 minutes

US Consumer Prices
© Shutterstock

US consumer prices surged by 0.5% in January, marking the largest monthly increase since August 2023, according to data released by the Labor Department on Wednesday. The rise, driven by higher costs for shelter, food, and gasoline, pushed the annual inflation rate to 3%, up from 2.9% in December. The Core Consumer Price Index, which excludes food and energy, increased by 0.4% in January and 3.3% year-on-year. While the strong inflation data tempered expectations for imminent interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the impact on markets appeared to be limited due to the market’s already low expectations for rate cuts this year.

Little movement on Wall Street

US stock markets experienced mixed outcomes on Wednesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.5% to 44,368.56 points, while the S&P 500 dropped by 0.3% to 6,051.97 points. Conversely, the Nasdaq-100 saw a slight gain of 0.1% to 21,719.26 points. Investors also couldn’t find support in comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who addressed the House Financial Services Committee on Wednesday. Powell emphasised that the battle against inflation is ongoing and that any rate cuts will be postponed until inflation aligns with the Fed's 2% target.

Asian stocks rally on Ukraine peace prospects

Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region were trading higher on Thursday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was up 1.3%, and Korea’s Kospi increased by 1.4%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was essentially flat, gaining 0.1%, but managed to reach a record high for the second time in two weeks during Thursday’s session. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index surged 1.7%, while mainland China’s CSI 300 was down 0.3%.

European stocks trade higher

Futures data showed European markets were set for a strong open on Thursday after stock indices saw modest gains on Wednesday. The Euro Stoxx 50 rose 0.3% on Wednesday, Germany’s DAX climbed 0.5%, and France’s CAC 40 inched up 0.2%. The Swiss Market Index was nearly flat. Investors will keep their eyes on corporate earnings, with heavyweights such as Siemens and Nestle reporting on Thursday.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Adyen, Airbnb, Applied Materials, BAT, Commerzbank, Deere, Nestle, Siemens, Swisscom, Unilever. Annual general meeting at Siemens.

Economic data in focus: UK gross domestic product (08:00), German Harmonised Consumer Price Index (08:00), Swiss Consumer Price Index (08:30), US Producer Price Index (14:30), US weekly initial jobless claims (14:30).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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