LGT Navigator

Friendly start to the week - focus on Harris-Trump debate and ECB

The start to the new week was mostly friendly on the stock markets. The focus is on the European Central Bank's (ECB) key interest rate decision on Thursday. Mixed economic data and a declining inflation trend should justify a further easing of interest rates. The first TV debate between the two US presidential candidates Harris and Trump is also eagerly awaited tonight. 

Date
Auteur
Alessandro Fezzi, LGT Research Content & Publications
Temps de lecture
5 minutes

Stock chart
© Shutterstock

In New York, share prices recovered from the previous week's weakness at the start of the week. The Dow Jones Industrial ended trading on Monday 1.2% higher at 40,829.59 points. The broad S&P 500 rose by just under 1.2% to 5471.05 points and the indices on the Nasdaq technology exchange rose by around 1.3% after technology stocks fell sharply in the previous week and the indices lost almost 6% on average. A product presentation by Apple attracted attention. The new iPhone 16 Pro and iPhone 16 Pro Max with a better camera and AI functions were unveiled. However, investors were initially unimpressed and Apple shares barely moved.

On the bond market, the yield on ten-year US government bonds currently stands at 3.7% and the US dollar gained slightly against the euro in foreign exchange trading. This came after a weak US labor market report recently heightened existing economic concerns and reinforced the prospect of an initial easing of interest rates next week.

Stock markets in Asia without a clear trend - China's exports rise more strongly than expected

The Asia-Pacific markets showed a mixed trend on Tuesday. In China, exports rose by 8.7% year-on-year in August (consensus +6.5%, previous month +7%) and imports by 0.5% (consensus +2%). This means that Chinese exports rose more strongly than expected and increased for the fifth month in a row. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index traded around 0.3% higher today, with shares of tech giant Alibaba in particular gaining over 4% after the stock was included in the Stock Connect program for cross-border investments. This program allows investors in mainland China or Hong Kong to trade and settle shares listed on the other market via the stock exchanges and clearing houses in their home market. By contrast, the Chinese benchmark index CSI 300 fell by 0.4%. The Australian S&P/ASX 200 rose by 0.6%. In Tokyo, the Nikkei 225 was up 0.1% and the broad-based Topix rose by 0.3%. South Korea's Kospi index remained virtually unchanged today, while the small-cap Kosdaq index fell by 0.4%.

Trump wants to “defend” the US dollar's status as the world's reserve currency

As US Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump prepare for their first and possibly only TV debate, Trump threatened to impose punitive tariffs of 100% on countries that no longer want to accept the US dollar as a reserve currency. At a rally, the former president promised that he would work to preserve the US dollar as the world's reserve currency if elected in November. “If you leave the dollar, you don't do business with the United States,” Trump said. In recent years, countries such as Brazil have called for trade to be conducted in currencies other than the US dollar. IMF data shows that although the US dollar's share of central banks' foreign exchange reserves has fallen from more than 70% in 1999, the greenback still dominates global foreign exchange reserves.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: There is no relevant corporate news today.

Economic data in focus: Unemployment rate in the UK, consumer prices in Germany, industrial production in Italy.
 

LGT helps you make informed investment decisions

Global economic and market trends at a glance

You can also follow us on Facebook or LinkedIn – or visit Insights and discover interesting background articles. If you have questions, a consultant from the bank will be happy to help you.

Imprint
Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

Prendre contact