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Global stocks move higher, despite geopolitical tensions

Stocks around the globe were trading mostly higher towards the end of the week, while safe-haven assets were supported by geopolitical tensions. Gold prices were set for their largest weekly gain in nearly eight months on Friday, trading around USD 2690, while the euro was hovering at a 13-month low. On Tuesday, Russia lowered its nuclear weapon use threshold and launched a hypersonic missile at Ukraine, driving investors towards safe-haven assets. European gas prices moved towards a one-year high and oil prices shot up. Brent crude was trading above USD 74, and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was above USD 70 per barrel. Bitcoin continued to surge throughout the week, trading around USD 98,700 on Friday.

Date
Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Reading time
5 minutes

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Japan's core inflation in October remained above the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) 2% target, with a 2.3% year-on-year increase, slightly exceeding forecasts. An index excluding fuel also rose 2.3%, up from 2.1% in September. The BOJ will consider these figures at its December meeting, where markets anticipate a rate hike. The yen's depreciation and rising service prices due to higher wages further support the likelihood of increased rates.

On Friday, Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading 0.9% higher, and Korea’s Kospi rose 0.8%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 increased by 0.9%. Conversely, Chinese stocks remained in the red to finish the week. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was down 1.6%, and mainland China’s CSI 300 dropped 1.9%.

US stocks climb, supported by Nvidia

The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1.1% to finish at 43,870.35 points, while the S&P 500 gained 0.5% to close at 5948.70 points. The Nasdaq-100 added 0.4%, ending at 20,740.78 points, supported by Nvidia shares. The chipmaker's shares initially surged following its earnings report released a day earlier but settled with a 0.5% increase. Some tech stocks were under pressure due to regulatory concerns. US Treasuries provided some relief for equities, with yields falling across the curve. The two-year yield was above 4.3% and the ten-year yield was trading just over 4.4%.

US jobless claims fall, home sales rebound

In US macroeconomic data, initial jobless claims fell by 6000 to 213,000 for the week ending 16 November, reaching a seven-month low. Despite this, continuing claims increased by 36,000 to 1.908 million, indicating longer periods of unemployment. The long-term trend on the labour market was interpreted by market participants as leaving room for a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next month. Meanwhile, US existing home sales surged 3.4% in October to an annual rate of 3.96 million units, marking the first annual increase since mid-2021. This rebound follows a September slump to 3.83 million units, the lowest since October 2010. The rise is attributed to a temporary dip in mortgage rates, which spurred buyer activity.

EU consumer confidence drops

Consumer confidence in the EU and euro area decreased by 1.1 and 1.2 percentage points, respectively, according to the EU's flash estimate released on Thursday. The indicators fell to -12.4 in the EU and -13.7 in the euro area, both below their long-term averages. The data collection spanned from November 1 to November 20.

European stock indices posted gains on Thursday. The Euro Stoxx 50 rose 0.6%, while Germany’s DAX increased by 0.7%. France’s CAC 40 edged up 0.2% and the Swiss Market Index climbed 0.5%.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: There is no major corporate news scheduled today.

Economic data in focus: German gross domestic product (08:00), UK retail sales (08:00), French Purchasing Managers’ Index (09:15), German Purchasing Managers’ Index (09:30), European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde speaks (09:30), euro-area Purchasing Managers’ Index (10:00), UK Purchasing Managers’ Index (10:30), Swiss National Bank Chairman Martin Schlegel speaks (13:40), US S&P Global Purchasing Managers’ Index (15:45), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (16:00).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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