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Tariff exemptions lift US stocks

US stocks rebounded on Wednesday as US President Donald Trump began making exceptions for recently introduced tariffs. Asian markets followed suit on Thursday, buoyed by the delay in tariffs for certain automakers. Meanwhile, European stocks saw strong performances, particularly in Germany, where a new government appears to be forming with the intent of increasing infrastructure spending. On Thursday, all eyes are on the European Central Bank, which the market expects to cut its key interest rate by another 25 basis points.

Date
Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Reading time
5 minutes

Tariffs

US stocks rebounded on Wednesday as optimism grew for a resolution in the tariff dispute with Mexico and Canada. US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick indicated a potential agreement could be announced soon, leading to gains across major indices. Trump also exempted some car manufacturers from tariffs and was considering other products for exemptions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 1.1% to 43,006.59 points, the S&P 500 increased by 1.1% to 5842.63 points, and the Nasdaq 100 climbed by 1.4% to 20,628.46 points.

US private payrolls see small rise

US private payrolls increased by 77,000 in February, marking the slowest growth in seven months, according to the ADP National Employment Report released on Wednesday. This slowdown is attributed to policy uncertainty and reduced consumer spending.

Asia-Pacific markets rise on tariff delays

Asia-Pacific markets were mostly higher on Thursday after Trump’s announcement to delay tariffs by one month for certain automakers. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading 1% higher, with Japanese ten-year bond yields reaching their highest level since 2009. South Korea's Kospi advanced 0.6%, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was down 0.6%. Meanwhile, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index surged 3%, while mainland China’s CSI 300 was up 1.5% following Beijing's announcement to raise its fiscal deficit to around 4% of GDP.

Swiss inflation declines but exceeds forecasts

Swiss Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation decreased year-on-year from 0.4% in January to 0.3% in February, remaining slightly above market expectations. The decline was driven by falling seasonal food and energy prices, with food inflation dropping to -2.6% and energy to -6.4%. Core inflation held steady at 0.9% on the year. Markets expect the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to announce another interest rate cut at its policy meeting in two weeks. The Swiss franc fell versus the euro but remained steady versus the US dollar on Wednesday. The SMI gained 0.8%

Euro-area PMI steady at marginal expansion

The eurozone Composite Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) remained unchanged at 50.2 in February, indicating marginal economic growth. Meanwhile, the Services PMI Business Activity Index fell to a three-month low of 50.6 points. Inflationary pressures increased, with input costs rising at the fastest pace in nearly two years. The bloc’s largest economy, Germany, was also just slightly in expansionary territory with Composite PMI for February at 50.4 points. Germany’s DAX led European stock gains on Wednesday, soaring 3.4%. The Euro Stoxx 50 increased by 1.9%.

Eurozone industrial prices rise in January

Industrial producer prices in the euro area and the EU increased by 0.8% in January 2025 compared to December 2024, as reported by Eurostat on Wednesday. This follows a rise of 0.5% in the euro area and 0.4% in the EU in December 2024. Annually, prices rose by 1.8% in both regions compared to January 2024, driven by significant increases in energy prices.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Broadcom, Comet, Costco, DHL Group, Geberit, Helvetia, and Zalando. Annual general meeting at Applied Materials.

Economic data in focus: Swiss unemployment rate (07:45), euro-area retail sales (11:00), Turkey Central Bank interest rate decision (12:00), European Central Bank monetary policy decision (14:15), US weekly initial jobless claims (14:30).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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