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Trump tariff shock deepens as China retaliates

Global stock markets experienced significant declines on Friday after China announced a 34% tariff on all US imports, reciprocating the tariffs imposed by US President Trump earlier, further exacerbating a global trade war and recession concerns. Stock indices on Wall Street fell sharply for a second consecutive day on Friday, with all three major indexes dropping by more than 5% as part of a global rout. The sell-off continued on stock markets in Asia this morning. Besides all the headlines surrounding the trade war, highlight this week are the Federal Reserve’s minutes from its latest meeting, offering clues on future monetary policy direction, on Wednesday and US inflation data for March on Thursday. 

  • Date
  • Author Alessandro Fezzi, LGT Research Content & Publications
  • Reading time 5 minutes

Trade war
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China has announced counter-tariffs on US imports amounting to 34%. According to the Ministry of Commerce, the tariffs are to come into force on 10 April. The Chinese government is also planning to file a complaint with the World Trade Organization (WTO) over the US tariffs. This follows the US imposed tariffs of 34% on Chinese products last week.

Asia stocks remain under pressure at the start of the week

Asian markets experienced significant declines on Monday due to escalating trade tensions initiated by US President Trump's tariffs. The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong led the downturn with a 10.4% drop, while Japan's Nikkei 225 plunged 6.2%, reaching an 18-month low. Mainland China's CSI 300 also decreased by 6.3%. These declines were mirrored across the region, with South Korea's Kospi losing 4.7% and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 falling 3.9%. The broad sell-off reflects growing concerns over a potential global recession. The sweeping tariffs are particularly severe on export-reliant, developing economies in Asia which produce garments and other consumer goods for the rest of the world.

Wall Street takes a staggering dive

The Dow plunged by 2231 points, or 5.5% to 38’314.86 points on Friday - the biggest decline since June 2020 during the Covid-19 pandemic. The broader S&P 500 closed nearly 6% lower at 5074.08 points - the biggest decline since March 2020, shedding about USD 5 trillion in market value across the last two days of the past week. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was 5.8% lower at the end of last week and closed in a bear market for the first time since 2022, down more than 20% from its record high in December.

European stocks plunge as China retaliates

European stock markets fell sharply on Friday, with the EuroStoxx 50 dropping 4.6% to 4878.31 points, its lowest level since the end of last year. This means that the gains made so far in the stock market year 2025 have been lost again. In Zurich, the SMI lost 5.1%, as the US administration might as well impose tariffs on the pharmaceutical sector. Shares of Swiss pharma giants Novartis lost about 5.5% and Roche 6% on Friday.

US labour market shows stronger-than-expected job growth in March

US nonfarm payrolls rose by 228,000 in March, surpassing expectations and up from the revised 117,000 in February, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday. Despite this growth, the unemployment rate edged up to 4.2% from 4.1% a month earlier, with the labour force participation rate also increasing. Health care led job gains with an addition of 54,000 positions. Average hourly earnings increased by 0.3% month-on-month, while the annual rate of 3.8% marked the lowest level since July 2024.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: There is no major corporate news scheduled today.

Economic data in focus: German industrial production and trade balance (08:00), German (08:00), Sentix investor confidence for the eurozone (10:30), euro-area retail sales (11:00).
 

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.