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Stocks rally on easing inflation and strong earnings

US stocks surged on Wednesday, buoyed by easing core inflation concerns, robust earnings from major financial institutions and lower Treasury yields. European stocks also traded higher. Asian markets followed suit on Thursday, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) reporting record quarterly profit. Markets were preparing for a slew of policy announcement at the start of next week when Donald Trump takes office again as US president on Monday. 

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Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Reading time
5 minutes

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US stocks rallied on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial rosing by 1.7% to 43,221.55 points, while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 2.3%, led by Tesla's 8% gain. The S&P 500 also advanced by 1.8%. Lower-than-expected core inflation and robust quarterly results boosted market sentiment. A dip is US Treasury yields also supported sentiment on stock markets, with the benchmark 10-year yield falling to 4.65% on Wednesday.

US banks kick off earnings season with strong results

Major US financial institutions kicked off the quarterly earnings season with strong results, showcasing significant gains across the board. JPMorgan reported a record annual profit of USD 58.5 billion, up from USD 49.6 billion the previous year, driven by a 49% rise in investment banking fees and a 21% increase in trading revenue. Wells Fargo also exceeded market expectations with a 59% surge in investment banking fees, contributing to adjusted earnings per share of USD 1.58, well above expectations. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs posted fourth-quarter earnings of USD 11.95 per share, significantly surpassing estimates, with revenue up 23% year-on-year due to strong trading results and higher investment banking fees. Overall, the results reflect a robust financial sector, buoyed by the ongoing strength of the US economy, and represent a solid start to the quarterly earnings season. The benchmark KBW Bank index shot up more than 4% on Wednesday. JPMorgan stock gained 2%, Goldman Sachs jumped 6% and Wells Fargo finished the day 6.7% higher.

US inflation rises as core CPI slows

US consumer prices increased by 0.4% in December, surpassing economists' expectations of 0.3%, driven by higher energy costs, according to data released by the Labor Department on Wednesday. Year-on-year, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.9%, up from November's 2.7%. However, markets chose to focus on the core CPI figure, which excludes food and energy and increased by 0.2% in December for a 3.2% rise over the past year. That’s slightly slower than November’s 3.3% increase. The Federal Reserve has reduced its projection for interest rate cuts this year, reflecting persistent inflationary pressures.

Asia-Pacific markets follow Wall Street higher

Asia-Pacific markets mostly climbed on Thursday, echoing gains on Wall Street. The Bank of Korea maintained its benchmark rate at 3%, contrary to expectations of a rate cut, boosting South Korea’s Kospi by 1.2%. Japan's Nikkei 225 rose 0.3%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 1.1% and mainland China’s CSI 300 was little changed. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 advanced 1.4%, despite the country's unemployment rate rising slightly to 4% in December.

TSMC Q4 profit hits record high

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) reported a 57% year-on-year increase in net profit for the fourth quarter, reaching TWD 374.68 billion on Thursday. This record profit aligns with market expectations and is driven by strong demand for semiconductors used in artificial intelligence. The previous year's fourth-quarter net profit was TWD 238.7 billion. TSMC is a key supplier for major companies like Apple and Nvidia.

Euro-area industrial production rises slightly

Euro-area industrial production increased by 0.2% in November, following a similar rise in October, driven by higher energy and consumer durable goods production, according to Eurostat data released on Wednesday. Despite this monthly growth, production was down 1.9% year-on-year and remained below pre-pandemic levels. Persistent challenges, including high energy costs and weak demand, particularly from Germany, suggest no significant recovery is imminent for the sector, which has been in recession for two years. European stock indices closed higher on Thursday. The Euro Stoxx 50 rose 1.1%, while Germany’s DAX surged 1.5%. France’s CAC 40 and the Swiss Market Index both increased by 0.7%.

UK inflation drops

UK inflation decreased to 2.5% in December, down from 2.6% in November, according to Office for National Statistics data released on Wednesday. This decline supports market expectations for a Bank of England interest rate cut in February. Despite this, inflation remains above the Bank's 2% target, with potential for future increases driven by rising energy costs.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, PNC Financial Services, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., U.S. Bancorp, and UnitedHealth. Annual general meeting at Micron Technology.

Economic data in focus: German Consumer Price Index (08:00), UK gross domestic product (08:00), Italian Consumer Price Index (10:00), European Central Bank monetary policy meeting minutes (13:30), US Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (14:30), US weekly initial jobless claims (14:30), US retail sales (14:30).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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