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Swiss franc falls as SNB cuts rates

The Swiss National Bank's decision to cut its key interest rate by 0.25% on Thursday, citing low inflationary pressure, led to a decline in the Swiss franc and a rise in the SMI. The gain in Swiss equities contrasted with the broader downward trend in European stocks on Thursday. Meanwhile, US markets continued to slide. In Asia, markets were mixed on Friday, with Chinese stocks dropping significantly. Gold retreated from recent all-time highs and was trading around USD 3030 per ounce.

  • Date
  • Author Shane Strowmatt, LGT
  • Reading time 5 minutes

SNB with Swiss flag
© Shutterstock

The Swiss National Bank reduced its key interest rate by 0.25% on Thursday, bringing it to 0.25%, citing low inflationary pressure. This move follows a 50-basis-point cut in December and aligns with market expectations. Swiss inflation fell to 0.3% annually in February, driven by cheaper imports. The SNB expects inflation to average 0.4% in 2025 and will adjust monetary policy as needed to maintain price stability. The Swiss franc fell about 0.4% versus the US dollar immediately after the announcement and the SMI closed 0.4% higher, bucking the European equity market trend on Thursday.

Bank of England holds interest rates

The Bank of England maintained its benchmark interest rate at 4.5% on Thursday, citing intensified global trade uncertainty. The Monetary Policy Committee's decision, which was widely anticipated, saw an 8-1 majority vote. The central bank highlighted increased geopolitical risks and financial market volatility. The UK economy faces potential stagnation with a 0.1% contraction in January and a halved growth forecast of 0.75% for 2025.

Lagarde warns of trade war with US

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde warned on Thursday that a trade war with the US could significantly impact the euro-area economy. If the US imposes a 25% tariff on European imports, euro-area growth could decrease by 0.3 percentage points in the first year, potentially rising to 0.5 percentage points if Europe retaliates. Lagarde also noted that such tariffs could increase inflation by 0.5 percentage points in the short term, although the effect would diminish over time. European stock indices declined on Thursday. The Euro Stoxx 50 fell 1% to 5,449.85 points, while Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 dropped 1.2% and 1%, respectively.

Japan's core inflation hits 3% in February

Japan's core inflation rose to 3% year-on-year in February, exceeding market forecasts of 2.9%, according to data released on Friday. An index excluding fuel increased by 2.6%, the fastest pace in nearly a year, suggesting broadening price pressures. This data reinforces market expectations of further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan, following Governor Kazuo Ueda's warning about rising food costs and wage growth potentially driving up inflation. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading 0.3% lower on Friday, while Asia-Pacific equity markets were mixed. Korea’s Kospi and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 were each trading 0.2% higher. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was down sharply by 2.3%, and mainland China’s CSI 300 was 1.5% lower.

US stocks close with slight losses

US stock markets ended with slight losses on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial closing marginally lower at 41,953.32 points. The S&P 500 fell by 0.2% to 5662.89 points, while the Nasdaq-100 declined by 0.3% to 19,677.61 points. Market doubts about the Federal Reserve's ability to significantly cut interest rates persist, compounded by inflation concerns stemming from US President Donald Trump's tariff policies. The Fed maintained current interest rates and revised its growth forecast downwards while raising inflation expectations this week.

US jobless claims rise slightly

US weekly jobless claims increased by 2000 to 223,000 for the week ending March 15, indicating a stable labour market despite rising trade tensions and government spending cuts. Continuing claims rose by 33,000 to 1.892 million, suggesting more people are staying unemployed longer compared to last year.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: There is no major corporate news scheduled today.

Economic data in focus: Russian interest rate decision (11:30), Canadian retail sales (13:30), euro-area consumer confidence (16:00).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.