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Markets look ahead to PMI and GDP data

Market participants are set to closely monitor Purchasing Managers’ Indices (PMI) and gross domestic product (GDP) data from major economies this week. On Monday, Purchasing Managers’ Indices from France, Germany, the euro area, the UK, and the US will provide insights into economic activity in many of the world’s largest economies. Tuesday sees the release of Germany’s ifo Business Climate Index, offering a snapshot of business sentiment in Europe’s largest economy. The UK publishes its Consumer Price Index on Wednesday, while the US releases GDP data on Thursday. The week concludes with UK GDP and US Personal Consumption Expenditures data on Friday, a critical measure for the Federal Reserve’s inflation outlook. Asian equity markets kicked off the week with mixed results, while gold prices declined, pulling back from record highs to trade below USD 3020 per ounce.

  • Date
  • Author Shane Strowmatt, LGT
  • Reading time 5 minutes

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Asia-Pacific markets were mostly higher on Monday, as traders continued to focus on the looming 2 April deadline for US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs. Trump had mentioned last week that there may be some flexibility regarding future tariffs - which lifted markets - but he also stuck to his 2 April deadline for implementing reciprocal tariffs against nations that have announced tariffs against the US. Korea’s Kospi fell 0.4% after the Constitutional Court's decision to strike down Prime Minister Han Duck-soo’s impeachment, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was trading 0.1% higher.

Japan PMI declines amid inflation, trade issues

Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading 0.2% higher after the release of PMI data. Japanese business activity contracted in March, with manufacturing PMI dropping to 48.3 from 49.0 in February and services PMI falling to 49.5 from 53.7. This marks the first decline in five months due to persistent inflation and reduced overseas demand. The overall composite PMI fell to 48.5 from 52.0, highlighting economic cooling influenced by rising domestic interest rates and uncertainties over US trade policies.

Chinese stocks down as Beijing vows greater market access

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slipped 0.3% on Monday, and mainland China’s CSI 300 was down 0.2% after China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng assured global CEOs on Sunday that Beijing will continue to open its markets and attract more foreign investment. This announcement was made at the China Development Forum, attended by executives from Apple, Qualcomm, AstraZeneca, and others. The forum highlighted China's commitment to enhancing its business environment amidst economic challenges, including sluggish domestic consumption and a real estate slump.

US stocks end week with moderate gains

US stock markets closed with moderate gains on Friday, aided by Trump’s comments about flexible tariffs, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.1% to 41,985.35 points. The S&P 500 also increased by 0.1% to 5667.56 points, while the Nasdaq 100 climbed 0.4% to 19,753.97 points. Over the week, the Dow saw the largest increase at 1.2%.

European markets fall after Heathrow closure

European markets ended lower on Friday, with the travel sector under pressure due to the closure of Heathrow Airport following a fire at a nearby substation. The Euro Stoxx 50 fell 0.5%, while Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 dropped 0.5% and 0.6%, respectively. The Swiss Market Index posted a small loss of 0.2%. Macroeconomic data on the continent couldn’t provide support with consumer confidence in the EU decreasing by 1 percentage point to -13.9 in March, according to data released on Friday. In the euro area, confidence declined by 0.9 percentage points to -14.5. Both indicators moved further below their long-term averages, reflecting growing economic concerns among consumers.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: There is no major corporate news scheduled today.

Economic data in focus: German Purchasing Managers' Index (09:30), euro-area Purchasing Managers' Index (10:00), UK Purchasing Managers' Index (10:30), US Purchasing Managers' Index (14:45), Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey speaks (19:00).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.