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Trump comments on tariffs shake up markets

US President Donald Trump announced on Monday that while new automobile tariffs will be introduced on 2nd April, not all levies will be imposed immediately, with some countries potentially receiving exemptions. This move, signalling possible flexibility, led to a broad increase in US stocks. European stocks were mixed to start the week, despite a rise in the euro area’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI). In Asia, traders were unsure what to make of the newest comments on tariffs and trading was mixed.

  • Date
  • Author Shane Strowmatt, LGT
  • Reading time 5 minutes

Market numbers
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US stock indices, including the Dow Jones Industrial, S&P 500, and Nasdaq-100, surged on Monday, driven by optimism that Trump's next round of tariffs might be more targeted and moderate. The Dow rose by 1.4% to 42,583.32 points, the S&P 500 increased by 1.8% to 5767.57 points, and the Nasdaq-100 climbed by 2.2% to 20,180.45 points. Tesla led gains among major tech stocks, jumping nearly 12%, while Nvidia and Amazon also posted strong recoveries.

US business activity rises in March

In macroeconomics, US business activity increased in March, driven by warmer weather, according to S&P Global's survey released on Monday. The Composite PMI Output Index rose to 53.5 from 51.6 in February, indicating expansion. However, sentiment deteriorated due to concerns over import tariffs and significant government spending cuts. Input prices surged to their highest level in nearly two years, while employment remained weak as businesses showed caution.

Euro-area output rises as manufacturing rebounds

The Flash Composite PMI for the euro area increased to 50.4 in March from 50.2 in February, marking its highest level in seven months, according to data released on Monday. Manufacturing production grew for the first time in two years, with Manufacturing PMI rising to 50.7 from 48.9 last month, while the Services PMI slightly declined to 50.4 from 50.6. Germany saw its fastest output growth in ten months, driven by renewed manufacturing expansion, whereas France experienced a seventh consecutive month of declining business activity, though at a slower pace than in February. European stock indices were mixed to start the week. The Euro Stoxx 50 edged down 0.1%, while Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 posted declines of 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively. The Swiss Market Index fell by 0.6%. Investor sentiment was dampened by ongoing trade discussions between the EU and the US, as well as negotiations for a limited ceasefire in Ukraine.

Mixed performance in Asia-Pacific markets

Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region showed mixed performance on Tuesday as traders had difficulties interpreting the meaning of Trump’s latest tariffs move. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading 0.6% higher, while the yield of five-year Japanese government bonds increased to its highest level since 2008. Korea’s Kospi fell 0.6%, and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was up marginally. In contrast, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index plunged 2% and mainland China’s CSI 300 was down 0.1%.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Baloise and Deutsche Wohnen. Annual general meetings at Fresenius SE & Co., Roche, und Sika.

Economic data in focus: German ifo Business Climate Index (10:00), US Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index (15:00), US new residential sales (15:00), Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (15:00).

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Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.