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AI enthusiasm boosts markets

US technology stocks rose on Monday, driven by enthusiasm for artificial intelligence (AI) investments with the Nasdaq 100 continuing to outpace the broader market. Asian markets followed suit on Tuesday, with Japan leading the gains. European stocks also surged to start the week. Meanwhile, the US dollar backed off to near a one-week low amid speculation that President-elect Donald Trump's tariffs could be less severe than originally expected. Along with the weaking dollar, gold prices rose, trading around USD 2650 per ounce, while bitcoin surged, trading near USD 101,900. In political news, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced his resignation citing party turmoil.

Date
Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Reading time
5 minutes

AI
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US technology stocks rose on Monday, amid general enthusiasm for AI investment. The Nasdaq 100 gained 1.1% to 21,559.50 points, supported by Nvidia's 3.4% rise. The S&P 500 increased by 0.6% to 5975.38 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.1% to 42,706.56 points. Microsoft's announcement to invest USD 80 billion in AI data centres and strong performance from chipmakers like Micron, which surged 10.5%, contributed to the tech stock moves. The broader sentiment was affected by moves in the US dollar, which was hovering near a one-week low against major currencies on Tuesday as traders speculated that Trump's tariffs might be less severe than anticipated. On Monday, the dollar declined following a Washington Post report suggesting Trump's aides were considering selective tariffs.

US services PMI hits 33-month high

Additionally supporting sentiment was the seasonally adjusted US Services Purchasing Mangers’ Index (PMI), which rose to 56.8 in December, the highest in 33 months, from 56.1 in November. This growth was driven by increased customer spending following the presidential election, leading to the fastest expansion in new orders since March 2022. Business confidence reached an 18-month high, anticipating favourable policies from the incoming administration.

Less positive for markets were new orders for US manufactured goods, which decreased by 0.4% to USD 586.1 billion in November, following a 0.5% increase in October, according to data released by the US Census Bureau on Monday.

Japan leads Asian market gains on tech rally

Asian markets rose on Tuesday, driven by the tech rally in the US. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading 2.2% higher, and Korea’s Kospi edged up 0.3%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was 0.3% higher. However, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was down 1.9%, impacted by declines in Tencent after the US designated it a Chinese military company, contrasting with mainland China’s CSI 300, which was trading 0.4% higher.

Euro-area economy contracts in December

The euro-area economy saw a marginal contraction in December, with Composite PMI rising to 49.6 from November's 48.3, indicating a softer decline. Germany, France, and Italy all reported reduced business activity, with France experiencing the sharpest decline. Despite a modest rebound in services activity, manufacturing output continued to fall sharply. Business confidence improved slightly but remained below the historical average. European stock indices nevertheless surged on Monday. Germany’s DAX shot up 1.6% and France’s CAC 40 jumped 2.2%.

German inflation rises in December

Germany's inflation rate is expected to reach 2.6% in December 2024, according to provisional data released by the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) on Monday. This marks an increase from 2.2% in November 2024.

Following faster-than-expected inflation increases in Germany and Spain, the euro area's HICP, which is due later Tuesday, is anticipated to have increased by 2.4% in December, up from 2.2% in November. This could potentially impact the European Central Bank's rate cut plans as inflation moves further away from the central bank’s 2% target.

Swiss Retail Sales Growth Slows in November

Swiss retail sales growth decelerated to 0.8% year-on-year in November, down from 1.5% in October, according to data released by the Federal Statistical Office on Monday. The slowdown was attributed to weaker demand for non-food items, which saw growth ease to 0.1% from 3.2% in the previous month. In contrast, food, drinks, and tobacco sales increased by 1.0%, up from 0.5% in October. On a monthly basis, retail sales fell by 0.1% in November, reversing a 0.1% increase in October. The Swiss Market Index saw a modest increase of 0.5% on Monday.

Trudeau to resign amid party turmoil

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced on Monday that he will step down in the coming months due to internal party conflicts, following over nine years in office. Trudeau cited party infighting and poor pre-election poll results as reasons for his decision, stating that he is not the best leader for the next election. He will remain in office until a new Liberal Party leader is chosen, with parliament suspended until March 24. This move comes as Canada faces potential US tariffs under Trump, adding to economic pressures including high prices and housing shortages.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: There is no major corporate news scheduled today.

Economic data in focus: Swiss Consumer Price Index (08:30), euro-area Consumer Price Index (11:00), euro-area unemployment rate (11:00), US ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (16:00), US JOLTS job openings (16:00).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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