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Asia-Pacific markets mixed following PMI data

Asia-Pacific markets experienced mixed reactions on Monday, with Japan's Nikkei 225 falling significantly. China's services sector showed robust growth amid trade concerns, but the positive data wasn’t enough to support Chinese stocks. US equities rebounded on Friday, ending a five-day losing streak, buoyed by political developments and strong Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data. European markets had a weak close last week, despite German unemployment data coming in slightly better than expected. US Treasury yields rose, with the 2-year yield near 4.3% and the 10-year yield at 4.6%. The US dollar index remained stable.

Date
Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Reading time
5 minutes

China Shanghai
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Asia-Pacific markets experienced declines on Monday as investors evaluated business activity data from the region. China's Caixin services PMI rose in December, marking the fastest expansion since May 2024, while Hong Kong's PMI dropped. India's services PMI also showed robust growth, reaching 59.3 in December. Japan's Nikkei 225 led losses in the region, trading 1.7% lower. Political uncertainty surrounding the attempted arrest of impeached president Yoon Suk Yeol in South Korea continued to affect market sentiment, but the Kospi rose 1.8%, nevertheless. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was slightly higher, up 0.1%.

China services PMI hits seven-month high

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slipped 0.6%, and mainland China’s CSI 300 declined 0.5% after data released Monday showed China's services sector grew at its fastest pace in seven months in December. The growth was driven by a surge in domestic demand, according to the Caixin/S&P Global services PMI. The index rose to 52.2 from 51.5 in November, indicating expansion. However, new business inflows from abroad declined, highlighting trade risks, particularly with potential increased US tariffs under a second Donald Trump administration. Despite fiscal and monetary stimulus measures, companies reduced staff due to rising costs, and business confidence dipped to its second-lowest level since March 2020.

US stocks rebound after five-day slump

US stock markets rebounded on Friday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 0.8% to 42,732.13 points. The S&P 500 increased by 1.3% to 5942.47 points, and the Nasdaq 100 climbed by 1.7% to 21,326.16 points. The markets were buoyed by Mike Johnson's re-election as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, suggesting support for President-elect Donald Trump's deregulatory agenda. Meanwhile, US Steel shares fell by 6.5% following President Joe Biden's decision to block its acquisition by Nippon Steel. Nvidia shares continued their upward trend, gaining 4.5% and approaching their record high.

US manufacturing PMI hits nine-month high

US manufacturing activity showed signs of recovery in December, with the Institute for Supply Management's PMI rising to 49.3, up from 48.4 in November, marking the highest level since March. Despite this improvement, the PMI remained below the 50 threshold for the ninth consecutive month, indicating continued contraction. The rise was driven by increased production and new orders, though manufacturers faced higher input costs. The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cuts and potential policy changes under Trump are likely to influence the sector's outlook early in the new year.

German unemployment rises less than expected

German unemployment increased by 10,000 in December to 2.87 million, according to German federal labour office data released on Friday. This rise was smaller than the market’s expectation of 15,000. The unemployment rate for 2024 averaged 6%, up from 5.7% in 2023, reflecting the impact of the ongoing economic downturn. Job vacancies fell to 654,000, a decrease of 59,000 from a year earlier, indicating reduced labour demand.

European stock indices closed mostly lower on Friday. The Euro Stoxx 50 fell 0.5%, Germany’s DAX declined 0.6%, and France’s CAC 40 dropped 1.5%. In contrast, the Swiss Market Index edged up by 0.2%.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: There is no major corporate news scheduled today.

Economic data in focus: Swiss retail sales (08:30), French Purchasing Managers’ Index (09:50), German Purchasing Managers’ Index (09:55), euro-area Purchasing Managers’ Index (10:00), Sentix investor confidence for the euro area (10:30), German Consumer Price Index (14:00), US Purchasing Managers’ Index (15:45), US factory orders (16:00).

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Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
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