LGT Navigator

ECB continues to cut interest rates as expected

The European Central Bank (ECB) met expectations and lowered its key interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point for the second time since the interest rate turnaround in June, thereby reacting to the slowdown in inflation and weak economic growth in the euro area. At the same time, the ECB lowered its growth outlook. In the US, inflation at producer level weakened more than expected, but the core rate increased. On Wall Street, gains in tech stocks led to daily gains, while stock markets in Asia were mixed at the end of the week. 

Date
Author
Alessandro Fezzi, LGT Research Content & Publications
Reading time
5 minutes

ECB sign at night
© Shutterstock

As widely expected, the ECB cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.5%. This comes after the inflation rate in the eurozone recently fell to 2.2%, its lowest level since mid-2021. At the same time, the ECB also lowered its growth forecast for the current year from 0.9% to 0.8%. The head of the central bank, Christine Lagarde, was cautious about further interest rate cuts and emphasised that inflation in the euro area is expected to rise again in the coming months. Any further easing of monetary policy would therefore depend on further economic developments. It therefore remains to be seen whether the ECB will take the next step at its next meeting on 17 October.

New York stock indices gain on tech stocks demand

On Wall Street, the stock indices were able to build on the previous day's recovery on Thursday after a weak start and the Dow Jones Industrial closed 0.6% higher at 41,096.77 points. The S&P 500 gained just under 0.8% and ended trading at 5595.76 points. On the Nasdaq, gains in Nvidia shares led the indices to a daily gain of just under 1%. On the bond market, the yield on ten-year US government bonds remained little changed at 3.68%. Investors paid close attention to the latest US economic data.

Core US producer prices also remain at a relatively high level

Producer prices in the US rose less sharply in August than in the previous month and less than expected. Year-on-year, producer price inflation amounted to 1.7% compared to 2.1% in the previous month. Excluding energy and food prices, the core price increase of 2.4% was even higher than the previous month's 2.3%. This means that the data on producer prices, like consumer prices before them, are more likely to point to a minimal interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve next week. At the same time, it was reported that the number of initial jobless claims - a timely indicator of developments on the US labour market - rose slightly more than expected last week by 2000 to 230,000.

China mainland stock market recovers from six-year low

The Asia-Pacific stock markets were mixed on Friday. The Chinese mainland index CSI 300 rose slightly and recovered from a six-year low. On Thursday, the stock market barometer had fallen to its lowest level since January 2019. Japan's Nikkei 225 fell by 0.7%, while the broad-based Topix fell by 0.9%. In Seoul, the Kospi fell by 0.15%, while the small-cap Kosdaq was 0.2% lower. Shares in chip heavyweight Samsung Electronics fell almost 3% as workers at its Indian plant reportedly went on strike for the fifth day in a row. In Sydney, the S&P/ASX 200 was up 0.3%, nearing its all-time high of 8148.7 points.

Demand for crude oil on the global market remains weak according to IAE report

According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), a cooling global economy and weaker growth in China led to a “sharp slowdown” in demand for oil. According to the IEA's monthly report published yesterday, demand for crude oil increased significantly less on average in the first half of 2024 than in the previous year and was the weakest since 2020, when demand collapsed due to the coronavirus crisis.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: No relevant company results are due today.

Economic data in focus: Consumer prices France, industrial production eurozone, and out of the US import prices as well as a consumer confidence survey by the University of Michigan.
 

LGT helps you make informed investment decisions

Global economic and market trends at a glance

You can also follow us on Facebook or LinkedIn – or visit Insights and discover interesting background articles. If you have questions, a consultant from the bank will be happy to help you.

Imprint
Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

Contact us