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Markets focus on inflation, central bank decisions

This week, market participants are shifting their attention from post-election topics to key inflation data and central bank decisions. On Wednesday, the UK releases its Consumer Price Index. The Bank of Canada announces its interest rate decision on Tuesday, followed by the People's Bank of China on Wednesday. In addition, Purchasing Managers' Indices are due out of the US and major European economies on Thursday and Friday. Finally, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be released on Friday, offering insights into the health of the consumer in the world’s largest economy.

Date
Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Reading time
5 minutes

market numbers
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Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region showed mixed performance to start the week ahead of the release of China’s loan prime rate on Wednesday and Japanese inflation data on Friday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading 1% lower, while Korea’s Kospi surged 2%, supported by a 5.4% increase at Samsung after the technology giant announced a share buyback plan to buy on Monday. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 edged up 0.2%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index gained 0.5%, but mainland China’s CSI 300 was trading 0.1% lower.

US stocks fall with Nvidia earnings in focus

US stocks ended a bleak week with losses on Friday, as the initial euphoria following the election of Donald Trump came to an end. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.7% on Friday to 43,444.99 points, marking a weekly decline of 1.3%. The S&P 500 dropped 1.3% to 5870.62 points, and the Nasdaq 100 decreased 2.4% to close at 20,394.13 points, with significant losses in the semiconductor sector ahead of the release of quarterly earnings figures from chipmaking giant Nvidia on Wednesday. Additionally, vaccine manufacturers' shares fell sharply following the nomination of vaccine sceptic Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the US Health Secretary.

Mixed US macroeconomic data

At the end of last week, the US released a series macroeconomic data that painted a mixed picture of the state of the world’s largest economy. US retail sales increased by 0.4% in October, driven by higher purchases of motor vehicles and electronic goods. September's sales growth was revised up to 0.8% from the previously reported 0.4%. The strong retail sales report, along with a rebound in import prices, led traders to reduce expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December. Meanwhile, US industrial production fell by 0.3% in October, impacted by a Boeing machinists' strike and hurricanes, according to Federal Reserve data released on Friday.

UK GDP growth slows

UK GDP growth slowed to 0.1% in the third quarter, below the 0.2% forecast and following a 0.5% expansion in the second quarter, according to data released on Friday. The services sector also grew by 0.1%, while construction rose by 0.8% and production fell by 0.2%. This slowdown comes after UK inflation dropped to 1.7% in September, leading the Bank of England to cut rates to 4.75% earlier this month. European stocks were in negative territory across the board on Friday. The Euro Stoxx 50 dropped 0.8%.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: There is no major corporate news scheduled today.

Economic data in focus: Swiss manufacturing production (07:30), Germany’s Bundesbank monthly report (11:00).

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Global economic and market trends at a glance

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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