LGT Navigator

US stocks dip ahead of Fed rate decision

US equity markets closed lower on Tuesday, with the Dow Jones marking its ninth consecutive loss, as investors remained cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) anticipated interest rate cut on Wednesday. Robust retail sales data suggested a resilient US consumer, dampening hopes for aggressive monetary easing. Meanwhile, Asian and European stock markets were mixed midweek.

Date
Author
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Reading time
5 minutes

market numbers
© Shutterstock

The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined by 0.6% to 43,449.90 points on Tuesday, marking its ninth consecutive loss. The Nasdaq-100 also dropped by 0.4%, pausing its recent rally, while the S&P 500 fell by 0.4%. Investors were cautious ahead of the Fed's anticipated 0.25% interest rate cut on Wednesday, despite mixed economic data showing a drop in industrial production and a rise in retail sales.

US retail sales rise in November

US retail sales increased by 0.7% in November, exceeding market expectations of a 0.5% gain, driven by strong performance in motor vehicle and online purchases, according to data released by the Commerce Department on Tuesday. This follows a revised 0.5% increase in October and reflects robust consumer spending underpinned by a resilient labour market and strong household balance sheets. Despite the late Thanksgiving holiday, the data suggests a strong start to the holiday shopping season and painted a picture of a US consumer, who is in little need of support by looser monetary policy.

Asian trading mixed as Japan's exports rise

Japan's exports increased by 3.8% year-on-year in November, surpassing the 2.8% forecast and following a 3.1% rise in October, according to data released on Wednesday. This growth was driven by strong demand for chipmaking equipment and a weaker yen, although the volume of exports slightly decreased by 0.1%. Imports fell by 3.8% in November, resulting in a trade deficit of JPY 117.6 billion, which was smaller than expected. Despite robust exports to China, concerns about US trade policies and a potential slowdown in the US economy pose risks to future export growth. The Bank of Japan is expected to keep rates steady at its monetary policy announcement on Thursday.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading 0.7% lower on Wednesday, while Korea’s Kospi rose 1.1%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was nearly flat, down 0.1%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index gained 0.8%, and mainland China’s CSI 300 increased by 0.4%.

German business sentiment declines

The ifo Business Climate Index for Germany fell to 84.7 points in December from 85.6 points in November, marking the lowest level since May 2020, according to data released on Tuesday. The decline was driven by more pessimistic business expectations, despite a slightly improved assessment of the current situation. The manufacturing sector saw significant drops in business satisfaction and future outlooks, while the service sector also reported worsened expectations despite a better current situation. Meanwhile, the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany, also released on Tuesday, rose to 15.7 points in December, an increase of 8.3 points from November. This improvement is attributed to expectations of investment-friendly policies following early elections and anticipated further ECB rate cuts. However, the assessment of the current economic situation slightly declined by 1.7 points to -93.1 points.

European stock indices showed mixed results on Tuesday. The Euro Stoxx 50 edged down 0.1%, while Germany’s DAX fell 0.3%. France’s CAC 40 managed a slight gain of 0.1%, and the Swiss Market Index rose 0.3%.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Micron Technology.

Economic data in focus: UK Consumer Price Index (08:00), euro-area Consumer Price Index (11:00), US building permits (14:30), US housing starts (14:30), Swiss National Bank Quarterly Bulletin (15:00), Federal Reserve interest rate decision (20:00).

LGT helps you make informed investment decisions

Global economic and market trends at a glance

You can also follow us on Facebook or LinkedIn – or visit Insights and discover interesting background articles. If you have questions, a consultant from the bank will be happy to help you.

Imprint
Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

Contact us