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Dans nos publications et nos vidéos, nous abordons chaque jour des thèmes importants pour le marché. Nos experts expliquent de manière compréhensible les tenants et aboutissants, les conséquences et les recommandations pour les investisseurs. Si vous vous abonnez à notre newsletter, nous vous informerons dès que nous aurons publié un nouvel article lié au marché.

The US and euro-area economies showed more signs of divergence to finish last week with their Purchasing Managers’ Indices (PMI) moving in opposite directions. Both US and European stocks finished the week strong, while Asia stocks were mostly in positive territory to start the new week. The...

Stocks around the globe were trading mostly higher towards the end of the week, while safe-haven assets were supported by geopolitical tensions. Gold prices were set for their largest weekly gain in nearly eight months on Friday, trading around USD 2690, while the euro was hovering at a...

Nvidia's slowing revenue growth weighed on global markets, with US stocks closing mixed on Wednesday and Asian chip stocks dragging broader indices down on Thursday. The AI chipmaker's forecast of reduced growth was particularly concerning for companies profiting from this year’s AI-driven gains.

China kept its benchmark lending rates unchanged on Wednesday, allowing time to assess the impacts of recent rate cuts aimed at boosting economic activity. Asian equity markets showed mixed responses on Wednesday. On Tuesday, US equities rebounded from early losses driven by geopolitical...

Swiss industrial production increased in the third quarter, continuing to show a positive trend even as the manufacturing sectors in neighbouring countries have struggled recently. The data wasn’t enough to move Swiss stocks much and other European markets saw minimal changes as well on Monday.

This week, market participants are shifting their attention from post-election topics to key inflation data and central bank decisions. On Wednesday, the UK releases its Consumer Price Index. The Bank of Canada announces its interest rate decision on Tuesday, followed by the People's Bank of...

US markets declined on Thursday following remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who indicated no urgency to lower interest rates. Powell attributed October's weak jobs report to temporary factors and maintained a cautious stance on rate cuts. The major US stock indices fell on...

US consumer prices rose in October, pushing the annual inflation rate up and challenging the Federal Reserve's (Fed) attempts to return to its target inflation figure. US stocks closed with little movement on Wednesday, while European markets ended Wednesday slightly lower. Asian markets traded...

US stock markets retreated on Tuesday as investors took profits following the rally driven by Donald Trump's election victory. This pullback in Wall Street's momentum extended to Asia-Pacific markets, which traded mostly lower on Wednesday. European equities also saw significant declines amid...

Despite a lack of macroeconomic data to provide impulses for the market early in the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a new record high close on Monday. Market sentiment was driven by President-elect Donald Trump's victory and the Republican Party's projected control of both...

We maintain our risk-on positioning and confirm our tactical "Overweight" in global equity, with a focus on US equity markets. However, given the uncertainty surrounding the US elections, we reduce the magnitude of the US equity "Overweight". In fixed income, we increase the duration of US...

The US economy remains stable with solid consumption, and the Federal Reserve has begun a rate-cutting cycle to support growth. While we maintain our US equities "Overweight", we introduce an "Underweight" in Japanese equities. Fixed income stays "Underweight", but we see value in government...

The sharp rise in equity volatility at the beginning of August proved to be a correction. We shift US equities to "Overweight", while fixed income remains “Underweight“, and we are taking profits in gold. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates in September, easing market headwinds and...

With the overall picture remaining constructive, we maintain our "Overweight" in equities and "Underweight" in fixed income. Fundamentally, stronger electricity demand growth, low valuations and the prospect of an interest rate turnaround offer attractive entry points in the utilities sector...

The solid but slowing growth environment should continue for the time being, albeit with regional differences, and the risk of recession seems to have been pushed further out. The equity market offers a more attractive risk/reward profile than the credit market, with the US stock market in...

Geopolitical tensions, robust US growth, rising oil prices and stubborn inflation are pushing equity and bond markets into negative territory for 2024. We are temporarily downgrading US equities to "Underweight" and reducing our preference for ILS investments to "Underweight".

The current economic and financial market environment is highly uncertain, with geopolitics, central banks and elections all making the next few months difficult to navigate. In this House View’s main article, we take a break from the day-to-day market environment and instead focus on our...

In this month's House View, we review some of our "Outlook 2024" forecasts and take a look at the latest developments in the financial markets. In our Macro article, we discuss the challenges faced by the manufacturing sector in recent years, highlight the factors behind this development and...

Major asset classes have started the new year on diverging paths without pricing in a uniform macroeconomic environment for 2024. To hedge against the risk of a hard landing, we would prefer government bonds with longer maturities. Overall, we consider the opportunities and risks to be balanced...

Global growth rolls into 2024 in a sluggish pace, leaving the burden of driving market optimism to disinflation and hopes for "sooner" and "sharper" interest rate cuts. While the probability of our current "high for longer" base case has indeed receded, we still think it will take a prolonged...

The third quarter earnings season is winding down. Here's a summary of the key takeaways.

In a week, the citizens of the USA will once again decide who will lead the country for the next four years. After President Joe Biden announced his withdrawal as the Democratic candidate in July, Kamala Harris brought new momentum to the race for the White House. With her, a woman could hold...

Polls on the US election continue to show a close race. What consequences would a Trump or Harris victory have for the global economy? Donald Trump's proposed tariff policy aims to strengthen American manufacturing by imposing high import tariffs, particularly on Chinese goods, which could...

In the second half of 2024, key economic trends emerged, shaping the global economic outlook. Disinflation returned on both sides of the Atlantic, the US labour market cooled further with slower job creation and falling wage inflation, and central banks began gradually easing their previously...

French bonds are once again in the spotlight and, for the first time since 2007, are perceived by the market as riskier than Spanish government bonds - despite Spain having a credit rating three notches lower. Simultaneously, the interest rate spread over German bonds has widened from around 50...

On September 24, People's Bank of China (PBOC) Governor Pan Gongsheng announced an extensive monetary easing package, including rate cuts, RRR reductions, and mortgage policy relaxations, surpassing market expectations. Immediate market reactions saw a surge in stock markets, bond rallies, and...

As the world's most competitive economy to date, the European Union has a problem: its main competitors, China and the US, no longer want to play the game. In his report "The future of European competitiveness", Mario Draghi, a grandee of EU politics who, as former head of the European Central...

September often brings increased volatility to equity markets, and this year is no different with several significant events poised to influence capital markets. Critical labour market data in the US and the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, where the US Federal Reserve...

At the Kansas City Fed’s symposium in Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signalled potential US interest rate cuts, citing a cooling labour market and easing inflation. Powell’s remarks highlight a shift towards a more flexible, "data-dependent" policy approach. With the Fed’s...

2024 continues the alarming trend of record-breaking global temperatures, surpassing previous highs set just last year. With July 22 marking the hottest day ever recorded, the persistent rise in temperatures underscores the urgent need for climate action. As extreme weather events become more...

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Vue du marché Notre vision des marchés

US, European economic activity diverge

Global stocks move higher, despite geopolitical tensions

Slowing growth at Nvidia rattles markets

China holds rates steady amid uncertainties

Swiss industrial output rises, markets quiet

Markets focus on inflation, central bank decisions

Powell drags down market sentiment

US inflation edges higher, markets mixed

Stock markets stumble as post-election rally fades

Trump trades dominate market sentiment

November 2024 - in a nutshell

October 2024 - in a nutshell

September 2024 - in a nutshell

August 2024 - in a nutshell

July 2024 - in a nutshell

May 2024 - in a nutshell

April 2024 - in a nutshell

March 2024 - in a nutshell

February 2024 – in a nutshell

January 2024 - in a nutshell

An unremarkable Q3 reporting season

Ambitious action or a complete reversal? The US election's impact on our climate

What if? Trump presidency 2.0 would intensify protectionism and accelerate global trade fragmentation

Macroeconomic data points: signal or noise?

Developments in the French debt situation: loss of safe haven status?

China’s central bank announces a combination of policy easing measures in support of the real economy

Draghi report: EU faces existential threat without reforms and investment

Buckle up: labour market data flurry will shape next Fed policy meeting

Monetary policy outlook: a shift towards easing?

Fancy it a little warmer?

Capital Market Assumptions

Capital Market Assumptions

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