LGT Navigator

Escalating global trade war sparks plunge on stock markets

US President Donald Trump’s sweeping "reciprocal tariff" policy, imposing a 10% baseline tariff on all US imports and higher rates on specific countries, including 34% on China and 20% on the EU. The move has led to sharp declines in global stock markets and prompted threats of countermeasures from affected nations. Economists warn that the escalating trade war could significantly impact global economic growth and potentially push the US into a recession.

  • Date
  • Auteur Alessandro Fezzi, LGT Research Content & Publications
  • Temps de lecture 5 minutes

Global stocks drop
© Shutterstock

US stocks fell sharply on Thursday after US President Trump announced broad trade tariffs, sparking fears of a global recession. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 4% to 40,545.93 points, marking its largest single-day loss in over three years. The Nasdaq 100 dropped 5.4% to 18,521.48 points, its lowest level since September 2024, while the S&P 500 declined 4.8% to 5,396.52 points. The S&P 500 experienced its largest one-day drop in nearly five years on Thursday.

The tariffs, effective 5 April, which include a 10% levy on imports from all countries and a 20% tariff on goods from the EU, have raised concerns about global economic damage and inflationary pressures. China now faces a combined 54% tariffs, with the 20% tariffs already in place. Besides any headlines on the ongoing trade war, investors will also await remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell who speaks tonight.

US service sector mood hits nine-month low

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported on Thursday that the US service sector Purchasing Managers' Index fell by 2.7 points to 50.8 in March, its lowest level since June 2023. The employment indicator dropped to its lowest since December 2023, while price and order indicators also declined. Despite remaining above the 50-point expansion threshold, the economic outlook is clouded by recent US import tariffs, potentially increasing uncertainty. This situation may strengthen expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which recently left key rates unchanged.

Asian stocks plummet on Trump tariffs

Equity markets in the Asian-Pacific region continued to decline on Friday, with Japan's Nikkei 225 falling over 2.4%, following the announcement of extensive trade tariffs. Trump's tariffs, have heightened fears of a global recession and disrupted supply chains. Consequently, Japan and Australia hit eight-month lows. Stock markets in China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Indonesia were closed on Friday for respective public holidays, contributing to thin trading volumes in the region.

European stocks plunge after Trump tariffs

European stock markets dropped sharply on Thursday following Trump’s announcement of extensive trade tariffs. The EuroStoxx 50 fell 3.59% to 5113.28 points, marking the lowest since Mid-January and the biggest one-day loss in three years, with significant losses in sectors such as retail, shipping, and autos. The Swiss Market Index (SMI) dropped 2.5% to 12,279.48 points.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: There is no major corporate news scheduled today.

Economic data in focus: German manufacturing orders (08:00), Canadian unemployment rate (14:30), US nonfarm payrolls (14:30), Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks (17:25).

LGT helps you make informed investment decisions

Global economic and market trends at a glance

You can also follow us on Facebook or LinkedIn – or visit Insights and discover interesting background articles. If you have questions, a consultant from the bank will be happy to help you.

Imprint
Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.