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US tariffs weigh on market sentiment

US stock markets closed lower on Friday as concerns over newly announced tariffs by US President Donald Trump and weaker-than-expected job growth weighed on investor sentiment. In Asia, markets traded mixed on Monday amid the ongoing trade tensions, while European indices also saw losses driven by weak German industrial data during the week’s last session. Markets are now looking ahead to key inflation and GDP data releases later this week.

Date
Auteur
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Temps de lecture
5 minutes

Falling market
© Shutterstock

US stock markets closed in the red on Friday due to concerns over multiple rounds of tariffs announced by Trump. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1% to 44,303.40 points, ending the week with a 0.5% loss. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 also declined by 1% and 1.3% to 6025.99 and 21,491.31 points, respectively. Investor sentiment was further dampened by Amazon's disappointing outlook. Trump announced an update to his tariff plans over the weekend, saying he will introduce new 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports, effective Monday. These tariffs will be imposed on top of existing metals duties, further escalating his trade policy overhaul. Trump also plans to announce reciprocal tariffs later this week, matching the rates levied by other countries. The fate of prior tariff exemptions for Mexico, Canada, and Brazil remains unclear.

US job growth slows

US job growth in January fell short of the market’s expectations, with nonfarm payrolls increasing by 143,000 jobs, down from an upwardly revised 307,000 in December, according to the Labor Department's report released on Friday. The unemployment rate stood at 4.0%, slightly lower than December's 4.1%. Average hourly earnings rose by 0.5% in January, following a 0.3% increase in December. Despite the slowdown in job growth, the labour market remains robust, allowing the Federal Reserve to interpret Friday’s data as a confirmation of its cautious approach to lowering interest rates.

Asia-Pacific markets rise amid tariff concerns

Asia-Pacific markets were mixed on Monday, as trade tensions kept investors cautious. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading essentially flat, while loan growth in the country slowed to 3% year-on-year in January. Korea’s Kospi edged up 0.2%, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was down 0.3%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index surged 2%, and mainland China’s CSI 300 rose 0.3% after China's consumer inflation reached a five-month high in January, rising 0.7% month-on-month and 0.5% annually, driven by Lunar New Year spending.

Investors look ahead to inflation and GDP data

This week, capital markets will closely watch the latest US inflation data, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures released on Wednesday. The data will provide a snapshot of inflation as Trump took office in January as well as insight into the Federal Reserve's next moves on monetary policy. The UK releases its gross domestic product (GDP) figures for the fourth quarter on Thursday, alongside German inflation data. In addition, the euro area’s GDP data is due on Friday.

European markets shaky amid weak German macroeconomic data

European stock indices closed lower on Friday. The Euro Stoxx 50 slipped 0.6%, while Germany’s DAX fell 0.5% to 21,787.00 points. France’s CAC 40 and the Swiss Market Index also posted declines, dropping 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively. In European macroeconomic news, German industrial production fell by 2.4% in December 2024 compared to the previous month, marking the lowest level since May 2020. The decline was driven by a significant drop in the automotive industry and machine maintenance sectors. Overall, industrial production in 2024 decreased by 4.5% compared to 2023. Data released separately on Friday showed German exports fell by 1% and imports declined by 2.8% for the full year 2024.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from McDonald's, Rockwell Automation, and Vertex Pharmaceuticals.

Economic data in focus: Sentix investor confidence (09:30).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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