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German economic sentiment improves sharply ahead of elections

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany soared in February, reflecting growing optimism ahead of Sunday's parliamentary elections. European and US stocks saw modest gains on Tuesday, while Asia-Pacific markets traded mixed amid varied economic data releases midweek. US Treasury yields were slightly firmer while gold was trading just below its all-time high at around USD 2930 per ounce.

Data
Autore
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Tempo di lettura
5 minuto

Made in Germany
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The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany surged to 26.0 points in February, marking a 15.7-point increase from the previous month. This is the highest rise in two years, driven by optimism about a new government and anticipated growth in private consumption. The current economic situation also saw a slight improvement, with the indicator increasing by 1.9 points to minus 88.5 points. On Sunday, Germans head to the polls to elect a new parliament. Germany’s DAX reached another all-time high on Tuesday, closing 0.2% higher, while Euro Stoxx 50 climbed 0.3%.

US stocks edge higher after holiday

US stock markets showed modest gains on Tuesday after a holiday break, with the S&P 500 closing at a record high of 6129.58 points, up 0.2%. The Nasdaq 100 also neared a record, rising 0.2% to 22,164.61 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial ended essentially flat at 44,556.34 points. Investor caution due to high valuations was balanced by optimism over US-Russia talks on ending the Ukraine conflict. In individual stocks, Intel shares jumped 16% on acquisition interest from Broadcom and TSMC.

Asia-Pacific stocks mixed amid economic data releases

Asia-Pacific stocks mostly fell on Wednesday as investors assessed various economic data from the region. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading 0.4% lower, after the nation reported its largest trade deficit in two years for January, according to data released Wednesday. Korea’s Kospi surged 1.8%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was down 0.7%, just one day after the country’s central bank cut interest rates. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index dropped 0.6%. Mainland China’s CSI 300, however, was trading 0.3% higher, after China reported a 5% year-on-year fall in new home prices in January, a slower drop than the 5.3% seen in December.

New Zealand central bank cuts rates

New Zealand's central bank reduced its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 3.75% on Wednesday and signalled further cuts to stimulate the economy amid moderating inflation. Governor Adrian Orr indicated additional 25-basis point cuts in April and May, aligning with market expectations. The aggressive rate reduction contrasts with the more cautious stances of the US Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of Australia. The dovish move comes as the economy struggles with recession and global uncertainties, including tariff policies under President Trump's second term.

UK wages outpace inflation amid stable unemployment

Wages in the UK have continued to outpace inflation, with pay increasing by 3.4% from October to December compared to the same period last year, according to the Office for National Statistics on Tuesday. Despite this, the unemployment rate remained steady at 4.4%. However, businesses are warning of potential job cuts and price increases due to rising employment costs, including higher National Insurance contributions and minimum wages.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Carrefour, Glencore, HSBC, MTU Aero Engines, Progressive, and Rio Tinto.

Economic data in focus: UK Consumer and Producer Price Index (08:00), US building permits (14:30) and FOMC minutes (20:00).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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