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Stocks rise, US yields firm as tariff conflict escalates

Global stock markets mostly advanced and US Treasury yields remained steady on Wednesday as investors evaluated the latest US tariff measures and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks before lawmakers on rate cuts. Markets are now awaiting today's release of US consumer price data, which could influence future monetary policy. Gold was trading just below all-time highs around USD 2890 per ounce while oil prices backed off slightly following an industry report of rising US crude stockpiles.

Data
Autore
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Tempo di lettura
5 minuto

Tariff

Trump's administration is finalising plans to impose reciprocal tariffs on countries levying duties on US imports, with an announcement expected later this week. This follows Trump's decision on Monday to impose tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports starting on 12 March, which has already drawn criticism from Mexico, Canada and the European Union. The move would further escalate global trade tensions, with the European Union on Tuesday also announcing plans for "firm and proportionate countermeasures". European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen criticised the US tariffs on imported metals, indicating potential reactivation of suspended tariffs on US products. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau likewise condemned the tariffs, promising a calibrated response.

Traders look ahead to US inflation report

US stock markets showed little movement on Tuesday, despite the tariffs tumult, with the Dow Jones Industrial closing up 0.3% at 44,593.65 points and the S&P 500 essentially flat at 6068.50 points, while the Nasdaq-100 fell 0.3% to 21,693.52 points. Investors were already shifting their focus to the US inflation report, due on Wednesday, as expectations suggest a slight slowdown in January's core inflation, with the headline rate steady. This report precedes any direct impact from Trump's new tariffs but provides a snapshot of inflation around the time of Trump taking office.

Fed maintains cautious stance on rate cuts

Fed Chair Powell stated on Tuesday that the central bank does not need to hurry in reducing interest rates further, given the current economic conditions. Speaking before the Senate Banking Committee, Powell highlighted a robust economy with a solid labour market and easing inflation, although it remains above the Fed’s 2% target. He emphasised that premature easing of monetary policy could impede progress on inflation, while excessive delay could weaken economic activity and employment.

EU pledges EUR 50 billion in AI catch-up attempt

The European Commission announced on Tuesday a EUR 50 billion investment boost for artificial intelligence (AI), aiming to mobilise a total of EUR 200 billion. The total funding includes previously announced EUR 150 billion from investors and industry and comes just days after French President Emmanuel Macron separately announced a EUR 109 billion private investment in the country's AI sector. Europe has been struggling to keep pace with US and Chinese AI developments and this week’s AI Action Summit hosted by France has been an opportunity for EU policymakers to highlight their continent’s strategy for catching up with foreign advances in the sector.

European stock indices advanced on Tuesday. The Euro Stoxx 50 rose 0.6% to 5392.35 points, while Germany’s DAX climbed 0.6% and France’s CAC 40 increased by 0.3%. The Swiss Market Index also gained 0.6%.

Asian stocks rise amid trade uncertainty

Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region were trading higher on Wednesday as investors attempted to digest the impact of an escalating trade war between the US and many of the world’s other largest economies. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was up 0.5% after reopening from a holiday. Korea’s Kospi rose 0.4% and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 increased by 0.6%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index surged 2.4% and mainland China’s CSI 300 was trading 0.4% higher.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Ahold Delhaize, Albemarle, Cisco, CVS Health, EssilorLuxottica, Schindler, Siemens Energy, and SoftBank.

Economic data in focus: US Consumer Price Index (14:30), Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks before US Senate (16:00).

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Global economic and market trends at a glance

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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