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Swiss industrial output rises, markets quiet

Swiss industrial production increased in the third quarter, continuing to show a positive trend even as the manufacturing sectors in neighbouring countries have struggled recently. The data wasn’t enough to move Swiss stocks much and other European markets saw minimal changes as well on Monday. US stock trading was also slow, with tech stocks making gains ahead of Nvidia's earnings report due on Wednesday. Asian equities were lifted by positive signals from Chinese policymakers on Tuesday. Oil prices surged to start the week.

Data
Autore
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Tempo di lettura
5 minuto

Made in Switzerland
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Swiss industrial production increased by 3.5% in the third quarter of 2024 compared to the same period last year, according to provisional data released by the Federal Statistical Office on Monday. Despite a mixed performance across the months, with a significant rise in July followed by declines in August and September, the overall quarterly growth was positive. Civil engineering saw a significant increase in output, rising by 11.8% during the period. While industrial output has been stagnant and even contracting in neighbouring European Union countries such as Germany in recent years, the Swiss manufacturing sector has generally remained robust since the reopening of the economy after the pandemic.

In September, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) reduced interest rates by 0.25 percentage points to 1% and revised its inflation forecasts, lowering this year's estimate to 1.2% and projecting further declines to 0.6% in 2025 and 0.7% in 2026. The SNB makes one more monetary policy announcement this year in December.

Movements on European stocks markets were small on Monday. The SMI closed just marginally in positive territory, while the Euro Stoxx 50 lost 0.1%.

Chinese policymakers boost Asia-Pacific markets

Asia-Pacific markets rose on Tuesday as investors responded positively to speeches from Chinese financial policymakers at an investment summit in Hong Kong. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng committed to enhancing Hong Kong's financial competitiveness through innovation and reform. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index gained 0.4%, while mainland China’s CSI 300 rose 0.6%. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was up 0.5% and Korea’s Kospi increased by 0.3%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 gained 0.9%.

US stocks move little ahead of Nvidia

US stock trading was muted to start the weak except for individual tech stocks as traders took positions head of Nvidia’s quarterly earnings due on Wednesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.1% to 43,389.60 points, while the S&P 500 gained 0.4% to finish at 5893.62 points. The Nasdaq-100 outperformed, rising 0.7% to 20,539.19 points, driven by tech sector strength. The gains in the Nasdaq indices were supported by Tesla, which closed 5.6% higher, while the world’s largest company by market cap, Nvidia, lost 1.3%.

Oil prices rise on North Sea outage

Oil prices shot up on Monday as Norway's Equinor halted production at its Johan Sverdrup oilfield due to a power outage, tightening the North Sea crude market. Brent was trading above USD 73 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) was above USD 69 per barrel. The escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with the US allowing Ukraine to use American-made weapons for long-range strikes against Russia, also contributed to the price surge. Despite last week's 3% decline due to weak Chinese refinery data and IEA forecasts, the current geopolitical tensions are driving prices higher.

Elsewhere in Northern Europe, two undersea fibre-optic cables in the Baltic Sea, including a Finland-Germany link, were cut, raising concerns of sabotage, according to Finnish and German authorities on Monday. One cable was severed on Sunday and the other on Monday, leading to investigations due to suspicions of intentional damage amidst heightened regional security tensions.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Lowe's, Medtronic, Sonova, Thyssenkrupp, and Walmart.

Economic data in focus: Swiss trade balance (08:00), euro-area consumer price index (11:00), Bundesbank monthly report (12:00), Canadian Consumer Price Index (14:30), US building permits (14:30), US housing starts (14:30).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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