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Markets awaiting US labour market data

With US markets closed on Thursday due to the funeral of former US president Jimmy Carter, market participants were focusing on the US Bureau of Labor Statistics’ monthly labour report due on Friday. The market expects the unemployment rate to remain steady at 4.2% even as nonfarm payrolls in December fall significantly from November’s figure. Earlier this week, US weekly jobless claims fell to the lowest level since February 2024, while the JOLTS jobs report and private-sector ADP payrolls data painted a mixed picture of the US labour market. In Asia, stock markets fell to end the week, while European equities closed mostly higher on Thursday.

Date
Auteur
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Temps de lecture
5 minutes

Jobs sign
© Schutterstock

Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region were trading lower on Friday, dragged down by weak economic data out of the region. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was leading losses, trading down 1%, after Japan's real household spending fell by 0.4% year-on-year in November, marking the fourth consecutive month of decline. This decrease was less severe than the 1.3% decline recorded in October. The weak spending data may challenge the Bank of Japan's efforts to raise rates and promote a cycle of increasing wages and prices.

Most losses in the region were mild, with Korea’s Kospi slipping 0.1% and Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 dropping 0.4%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 0.9%. Mainland China’s CSI 300 was 0.7% lower.

China halts bond buying to support yuan

China's central bank, the People's Bank of China (PBOC), suspended treasury bond purchases on Friday, causing bond yields to rise. This move, amidst a global bond selloff, is seen as an effort to defend the yuan, which has been under pressure due to a widening yield gap with the US. The PBOC cited a bond shortage for the halt and indicated it would resume purchases when market conditions are favourable.

Euro-area retail trade volume rises slightly

European stock indices finished mostly in positive territory on Thursday despite weak retail sales data coming out of the euro area, with the Euro Stoxx 50 climbing 0.4%. Retail trade volume in the euro area increased by 0.1% in November compared to October, after a 0.3% decline in October, according to Eurostat data released on Thursday. That was lower than the market had expected. Annually, retail trade grew by 1.2% compared to November 2023. Last month, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its deposit rate by 25 basis points to 3% and Thursday’s weak retail sales data appears to support another cut at the central bank’s upcoming monetary policy meeting at the end of the month.

German exports rise in November

German exports increased by 2.1% in November compared to October, reaching EUR 127.3 billion, while imports fell by 3.3% to EUR 107.6 billion, according to data released on Thursday. Year-on-year, exports decreased by 3.5% and imports declined by 2.9%. The foreign trade balance showed a surplus of EUR 19.7 billion, down from EUR 21.1 billion in November 2023. Notably, exports to the United States rose by 14.5% month-on-month, while imports from China decreased by 3.1%. Germany’s DAX was the only major national European index in the red on Thursday, dipping 0.1%.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: There is no major corporate news scheduled today.

Economic data in focus: Swiss unemployment rate (07:45), French industrial production (08:45), US average hourly earnings (14:30), US unemployment rate (14:30), US nonfarm payrolls (14:30), Canadian unemployment rate (14:30), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (16:00).

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Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
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