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Fed, BoE and Riksbank cut rates

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) cut its policy rate by 0.25 percentage points on Thursday, as central banks in the UK and Sweden also reduced rates to address economic challenges. US equities closed higher on Thursday, led by gains in the technology sector and supported by falling Treasuries yields. Asian stock markets were mixed on Friday with traders fixated on China's National People's Congress. European stocks advanced a day earlier, with Germany's DAX leading the gains.

Data
Autore
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Tempo di lettura
5 minuto

Fed building closeup
© Shutterstock

The Fed reduced its policy rate by 0.25 percentage points to a range of 4.50-4.75% on Thursday. Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the recent presidential election results, which saw Donald Trump elected, will not immediately impact monetary policy. However, the Fed will closely monitor the new administration's policies for their potential effects on inflation and employment. Financial markets anticipate one more rate cut this year at the Fed’s December meeting as inflation nears the central bank's 2% target.

The Fed decision was anticipated by markets, but US equities closed higher on Thursday, driven by strong performances in the technology sector. Lower US Treasury yields also helped stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended nearly flat at 43,729.34 points, while the S&P 500 climbed 0.7% to 5973.1 points. The tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 surged 1.5% to 21,101.57 points, benefiting from robust earnings reports. However, after huge gains on Wednesday, the Russell 2000 slipped 0.4%, and the KBW Bank Index dropped 2.7%.

Asian traders keep eyes glued on NPC

Asian stocks were mixed on Friday as investors remained focused on China's National People's Congress, which is expected to announce fiscal stimulus measures. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index fell 0.7%, and mainland China’s CSI 300 declined 0.6%. In contrast, Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading 0.3% higher, Japan's household spending declined by 1.1% in September, less than the anticipated drop. Korea’s Kospi edged down 0.1%, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was 0.8% higher.

Expansive monetary policy from the Bank of England and Riksbank

The Bank of England reduced interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.75% on Thursday, marking its second cut this year. The decision comes amid easing inflation and the recent Labour budget announcement. The central bank signalled a gradual approach to further rate cuts, despite expectations of a slight inflation increase to 2.75% in 2025. The move aligns with market expectations. Elsewhere in European central banking, Sweden’s Riksbank announced a 0.5 percentage point reduction in its policy rate to 2.75% to bolster the economy and stabilise falling inflation. The rate may be further reduced in December and the first half of 2025 if economic conditions remain unchanged. Meanwhile, Norges Bank kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.5%, the Norwegian central bank said Thursday.

German industrial production falls as exports decline

German industrial production decreased by 2.5% in September from August, according to data released by the Federal Statistical Office on Thursday. This follows a 2.6% increase in August. Compared to September 2023, production was down 4.6%. The decline was driven by a 7.8% drop in the automotive sector and a 4.3% decrease in the chemical industry. Meanwhile, German exports fell by 1.7% in September compared to August, while imports rose by 2.1% over the same period. Year-on-year, exports decreased by 0.2%, while imports increased by 1.3%. Europe’s largest economy has been struggling to grow for most of the last two years as companies struggle with high energy costs and weak trade, a key factor for Germany’s export-driven economy. Political uncertainty is likely add to the nation’s woes after Germany's ruling coalition collapsed this week, paving the way for snap elections.

European stock indices advanced on Thursday with Germany’s DAX leading regional gains. The Euro Stoxx 50 increased 1.1% to 4851.65 points, while the DAX rose 1.7% to 19,362.52 points. France’s CAC 40 gained 0.8%, closing at 7425.60 points, while the Swiss Market Index added 0.8% to 11,938.94 points.

Euro area retail trade volume rises

Retail trade volume in the euro area increased by 0.5% in September compared to August, while the EU saw a 0.3% rise, according to Eurostat data released on Thursday. This follows a 1.1% increase in the eurozone and a 0.9% rise in the EU in August. Annually, retail trade volume grew by 2.9% in the euro area and by 2.8% in the EU. The highest monthly increases were recorded in Belgium, Denmark, and Croatia, each with a 2.1% rise.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Deutsche Wohnen, LEG Immobilien, Richemont Sony. Annual general meetings at Estée Lauder Companies and Pernod Ricard.

Economic data in focus: Swiss SECO consumer sentiment (09:00), Canadian average hourly wages (14:30), Canadian employment change (14:30), Canadian unemployment rate (14:30), University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (16:00).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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