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China holds rates steady amid uncertainties

China kept its benchmark lending rates unchanged on Wednesday, allowing time to assess the impacts of recent rate cuts aimed at boosting economic activity. Asian equity markets showed mixed responses on Wednesday. On Tuesday, US equities rebounded from early losses driven by geopolitical concerns stemming from a decision by the US to allow Ukraine to strike deep within Russia using its long-range missiles. Tech stocks led the recovery ahead of Nvidia’s earnings report. European markets, however, closed lower on Tuesday.

Data
Autore
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Tempo di lettura
5 minuto

China flag and currency
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China maintained its benchmark lending rates on Wednesday, with the one-year loan prime rate (LPR) at 3.1% and the five-year LPR at 3.6%. This decision allows the central bank more time to observe the consequences of last month’s rate cuts aimed at stimulating economic activity. The market expected the move amid pressures on banks' profitability and the yuan's recent depreciation. Beijing's ongoing stimulus measures are at odds with potential economic policies from Donald Trump's upcoming administration such as proposed tariffs on imported goods. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was little changed on Wednesday, and mainland China’s CSI 300 edged up 0.1%.

Japan exports rise on China demand

Japan's exports increased by 3.1% year-on-year in October, driven by strong demand for chipmaking equipment from China, according to data released on Wednesday. This follows a 1.7% decline in September and exceeded the 2.2% growth expected by the market. Imports also rose by 0.4%, resulting in a trade deficit of JPY 461.2 billion. However, concerns remain over the potential impact of US President-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariffs, which could disrupt future trade. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading essentially flat on Wednesday, while stocks across the Asia-Pacific region struggled to find a clear direction. Korea’s Kospi gained 0.4%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was 0.6% lower.

US equities recover from weak start

US stocks started Tuesday’s session weak as concerns about an escalation in tensions between Russia and the United States over Ukraine dominated sentiment. Safe-haven assets such as gold, the yen and the Swiss franc briefly spiked along with market volatility. By the end of the day, equities recovered most of their losses. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 43,268.94 points, slipping 0.3%, while the S&P 500 rose 0.4% to finish at 5917.0 points. The tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 climbed 0.7% to 20,684.59 points. Shares of the world’s most valuable company by market capitalisation, Nvidia, shot up by 4.9% ahead of Wednesday’s quarterly earnings report.

In other individual stocks, Walmart gained 3% after reporting third-quarter earnings and revenue on Tuesday that surpassed expectations, driven by increased sales of discretionary items and a strong start to the holiday season. As the world’s largest retailer, Walmart’s sales figures are often used as an indicator for the wider health of the US consumer.

On the macroeconomic side, US building permits for privately-owned housing decreased by 0.6% in October, reflecting a 7.7% drop from October 2023. Housing starts declined by 3.1% month-over-month.

Swiss exports hit record high

Swiss exports surged by 10.2% in October, driven by the chemical and pharmaceutical sectors, reaching a new record level. This follows a period of weakness in the previous three months. Imports increased by 1.8% compared to September, resulting in a record trade surplus of CHF 6 billion. Notably, Slovenia emerged as the largest export market for Swiss goods, primarily in the chemical-pharmaceutical sector. A day earlier, Switzerland reported increased industrial production in the third quarter, underscoring the resilience of the Swiss economy despite recent weakness across much of the continent. The Swiss Market Index led European losses on Tuesday, decreasing by 0.9%.

Euro-area inflation rises

Euro-area annual inflation increased to 2% in October 2024, up from 1.7% in September, according to Eurostat data released on Tuesday. This is a decrease from the 2.9% rate recorded in October 2023. In the broader European Union, annual inflation rose to 2.3% in October from 2.1% in September, down from 3.6% a year earlier. The main driver of the increase in the euro area was the services sector, contributing 1.77 percentage points to the overall rate. The uptick highlights the dilemma for the European Central Bank, which has begun cutting interest rates to support struggling economies in the euro area but is also concerned about driving inflation back above its 2% target.

European stock indices declined on Tuesday wit the Euro Stoxx 50 falling 0.8%, while Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 both dropped 0.7%.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Baloise, Nvidia, Palo Alto Networks, Target, and TJX Companies. Annual general meeting at Western Digital.

Economic data in focus: UK Consumer Price Index (08:00), UK Producer Price Index (08:00), German Producer Price Index (08:00), European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde speaks (14:00).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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