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Global markets await US tariff announcement

Global investors are anxiously awaiting US President Donald Trump's tariff announcement on Wednesday, dubbed "Liberation Day", which could significantly impact global trade. US stocks moved little on Tuesday, while Asian equities were mixed on Wednesday. Gold came down slightly after breaking into new territory several times in recent sessions and was trading below USD 3120 per ounce midweek.

  • Data
  • Autore Shane Strowmatt, LGT
  • Tempo di lettura 5 minuto

Tariffs

The White House has closely guarded the details, but the new reciprocal tariffs are expected to match the tariff rates of major trading partners and counteract non-tariff barriers with the new duties expected to take effect immediately after the announcement late Wednesday. These tariffs will add to existing duties on cars, metals, and Chinese goods, and a separate 25% global tariff on auto imports will begin on Thursday. US investors remained cautious on Tuesday ahead of the announcement. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed nearly unchanged at 41,989.96 points. In contrast, the S&P 500 rose by 0.4% and the Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.8%, driven by gains in major tech stocks. In individual stocks, Johnson & Johnson fell 7.6% due to legal setbacks.

US ISM manufacturing PMI falls into contraction

The US manufacturing sector contracted in March, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI falling to 49, down from 50.3 in February, according to data released on Monday. New orders and production indices also declined, while supplier deliveries slowed. Prices surged, reflecting ongoing tariff impacts. This marks a reversal after two months of marginal expansion, following a prolonged period of contraction. Meanwhile, US job openings were steady at 7.6 million in February, but down by 877,000 compared to the previous year, according the JOLTS jobs report released on Tuesday. Notably, job openings in the finance and insurance sector decreased by 80,000.

Asian stocks move little ahead of tariff announcement

Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region were mixed on Wednesday as traders took their final positions ahead of the expected tariff announcement out of the US. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading 0.3% higher, while Korea’s Kospi fell 0.6% after Korea’s inflation rate increased to 2.1% on the year in March, up from 2% in February. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 edged up 0.1%, but Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index slipped 0.2% and mainland China’s CSI 300 was down 0.1%

Euro-area inflation dips to 2.2%

Inflation in the euro area fell to 2.2% in March, down from 2.3% in February, according to data released by Eurostat on Tuesday. Core inflation, excluding volatile items, also declined to 2.4% from 2.6%. This decrease in inflation has increased market participants’ expectations for a 25-basis-point interest rate cut by the European Central Bank at its upcoming meeting later this month. The euro area also saw its unemployment rate drop to 6.1% in February. European stocks rebounded on Tuesday but were expected to open lower on Wednesday. The Euro Stoxx 50 climbed 1.4% on Tuesday, while Germany’s DAX surged 1.7% and France’s CAC 40 advanced 1.1%. The Swiss Market Index also posted gains, increasing by 0.7%.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: There is no major corporate news scheduled today.

Economic data in focus: US ADP National Employment Report (14:15), US factory orders (16:00).

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Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.