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Swiss inflation data boosts franc, stocks

Swiss consumer prices fell slightly in January, but year-on-year inflation came in higher than expected, leading to a surge in the Swiss franc and a strong rise in Swiss stocks. US equities also saw gains after US President Donald Trump announced a study period for new tariffs, providing market participants with time to regroup before the next round of retaliatory tariffs kick in. Trading was mixed in Asian markets to end the week.

Data
Autore
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Tempo di lettura
5 minuto

Swiss francs
© Shutterstock

Swiss consumer prices decreased by 0.1% in January 2025, according to data released by the Federal Statistical Office on Thursday. Year-on-year inflation rose by 0.4%, coming in slightly hotter than the market had expected. Core inflation, which excludes volatile items, also fell by 0.1% but was up 0.9% from January 2024. For months, inflation in Switzerland has been falling, leading market participants to expect more rate cuts as the Swiss National Bank tries to keep inflation safely within its target range of 0% to 2%. The Swiss franc shot up against all major currencies following the release of the data. The Swiss Market Index also saw a solid rise Thursday, climbing 1.9% to 12,951.76 points.

US stocks rise as Trump looks into new tariffs

US stock markets surged on Thursday, driven by news that Trump initiated a new round of reciprocal tariffs on goods from countries with duties on US imports. Wall Street reacted positively, as the announcement initiated a study period, rather than immediately imposing new tariffs. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.8% to close at 44,711.43 points, while the S&P 500 increased by 1% to 6115.07 points, and the Nasdaq 100 rose by 1.4% to 22,030.71 points.

US producer prices rise

In macroeconomic data, US producer prices increased by 0.4% in January, surpassing expectations and following a revised 0.5% increase in December. Year-on-year, the producer price index (PPI) rose 3.5%, according to Thursday’s data release. Additionally, initial jobless claims fell by 7000 to 213,000 for the week ending 8 February, indicating a stable labour market. These figures suggest inflation is picking up and the labour market remains moderately robust, likely delaying Federal Reserve interest rate cuts until the second half of the year.

German inflation eases to 2.3%

Germany's inflation rate, measured by the consumer price index, eased to 2.3% in January 2025 from 2.6% in December 2024, according to Destatis on Thursday. The deceleration was driven by slower increases in food prices and a decline in energy prices by 1.6% year-on-year. However, service prices rose by 4%, continuing to exert upward pressure on overall inflation. Consumer prices fell by 0.2% compared with the previous month. European stock indices posted robust gains on Thursday. The Euro Stoxx 50 increased by 1.7% to 5498.35 points. Germany’s DAX soared 2.1% to 22,612.02 points, and France’s CAC 40 rose 1.5% to 8164.11 points.

UK GDP grows by 0.4%

The Office for National Statistics reported on Thursday that the UK's real GDP increased by 0.4% in December 2024, driven primarily by the services sector. For the three months to December, GDP grew by 0.1%. Annually, GDP grew by 0.8% in 2024 compared to 2023, bolstered by a 1.3% rise in services output.

Asian stocks mixed as Nikkei declines

Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region showed mixed performance on Friday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading 0.8% lower. South Korea’s Kospi edged up 0.3% after the country’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate declined to 2.9% in January from 3.7% in December, marking a significant improvement from the previous month. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was 0.2% higher. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index was a standout, surging 2.2%, and mainland China’s CSI 300 was trading 0.5% higher.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Hermès, Moderna, Norsk Hydro, and Safran.

Economic data in focus: Swiss Producer and Import Price Index (08:30), euro-area gross domestic product (11:00), Russian interest rate decision (11:30), US retail sales (14:30).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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