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US inflation edges higher, markets mixed

US consumer prices rose in October, pushing the annual inflation rate up and challenging the Federal Reserve's (Fed) attempts to return to its target inflation figure. US stocks closed with little movement on Wednesday, while European markets ended Wednesday slightly lower. Asian markets traded mostly in the red on Thursday. The US dollar firmed to a one-year high, gold fell, and Bitcoin continued to reach new all-time highs. Meanwhile, major news outlets have projected that the Republican Party has secured a majority in the House of Representatives. By winning the House, the conservative party has secured a so-called sweep of all major government bodies, which should facilitate the execution of President-elect Donald Trump’s policies as well as fiscal spending efforts.

Data
Autore
Shane Strowmatt, LGT
Tempo di lettura
5 minuto

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The US consumer price index (CPI) rose by 0.2% in October, bringing the annual inflation rate to 2.6%, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday. The core CPI, which excludes food and energy, increased by 0.3% for the month and 3.3% year-on-year, both figures aligning with market expectations. The increase to 2.6% from September’s 2.4% is a setback for the Fed as it tries to reach its 2% inflation target. Nevertheless, markets still expect the Fed to cut rates next month by one quarter of a percentage point.

Dollar firm, gold under pressure

The US dollar reached a one-year high against major currencies on Thursday, driven by rising yields and the election of Donald Trump. The US Dollar Index was trading higher amid anticipation of higher trade tariffs and tighter immigration policies under Trump, which are expected to increase inflation, potentially extending the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting pause. High yields and the strong dollar put pressure on the gold price last week, which dropped to a near two-month low on Thursday. Gold was trading around USD 2560 per ounce.

Meanwhile, the Bitcoin rally continued with the digital currency surging above USD 93,000 for the first time on Wednesday. Other cryptocurrencies, including Ether and Solana, also saw modest increases, while Dogecoin – which has been supported by Tesla CEO Elon Musk in the past – shot up again, boosted by his involvement in President-elect Donald Trump’s administration.

US stocks struggle to find direction

Following several days with major swings, US stock indices showed little movement on Wednesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average inched up by 0.1% to 43,958.19 points. Streaming giants like Amazon and Netflix saw significant gains, driven by strong customer growth reported by Spotify, which rose 11.4%. The S&P 500 remained nearly unchanged at 5985.38 points, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.2% to 21,036.16 points.

Australian employment growth slows in October

Australia's employment increased by 15,900 jobs in October, falling short of the forecasted 25,000 rise and marking the smallest gain in seven months. The jobless rate remained steady at 4.1%, consistent for the past six months. Despite the slowdown, the labour market's strength suggests that the Reserve Bank of Australia is unlikely to cut interest rates before mid-2025. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was trading 0.4% higher on Thursday.

Elsewhere in the Asia-Pacific region, stocks were mostly lower on Thursday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was trading 0.6% down, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index plunged 2.1%. Mainland China’s CSI 300 was 1.5% lower. Conversely, Korea’s Kospi gained 0.4%.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Quarterly figures from Applied Materials, Deutsche Telekom, E.ON, Merck KGaA, Siemens, and Swiss Re. Annual general meeting at Oracle.

Economic data in focus: euro-area gross domestic product (11:00), ECB monetary policy meeting minutes (13:30), US initial jobless claims (14:30), US producer price index (14:30), ECB President Christine Lagarde speaks (20:00), Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks (21:00), Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey speaks (22:00).

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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