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A cautious start to the week - waiting for the central banks' decisions

Investors held back at the beginning of the week ahead of the eagerly awaited interest rate decision by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). Market consensus is that the Fed will initiate the interest rate turnaround on Wednesday evening, but opinions differ as to how much monetary policy easing will take place. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones reached a new record high in advance. In addition to the Fed, the British and Japanese central banks will also announce their interest rate decisions at the end of this week. 

Data
Autore
Alessandro Fezzi, LGT Research Content & Publications
Tempo di lettura
5 minuto

US banks
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The Dow Jones Industrial reached a record high in the run-up to the Fed interest rate decision and closed Monday's trading at 41,622.08 points, just under 0.6% higher than on the previous day. Intel, which is listed on the Dow, rose by over 6%. The American processor manufacturer is to receive government subsidies of up to USD 3 billion. The S&P 500 ended trading 0.1% higher at 5633.09 points. After a strong previous week, the Nasdaq indices fell by around 0.5% on Monday. Among the biggest losers were Micron (-4.4%), Broadcom (-2.2%) and Nvidia (-2%). On the bond market, the yield on ten-year Treasuries fell to 3.62%. The euro continued its recovery rally and rose to just under 1.1130 against the US dollar.

Yen weighs on Tokyo Stock Exchange

Stocks in the Asia-Pacific region trended mixed on Tuesday, with the Nikkei 225 falling by more than 2% and the Topix also falling by 1.8%. The background was a stronger yen. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index rose by more than 1%. Shares in Chinese appliance maker Midea Group rose by more than 9% on their debut in Hong Kong, compared with an issue price of HKD 54.80. This is the city's largest IPO in more than three years. The stock markets in South Korea, mainland China and Taiwan remained closed for a holiday. In Sydney, the Australian S&P/ASX 200 traded around 0.2% higher.

New York industrial barometer surprises on the positive side

The Empire State industrial index rose unexpectedly to 11.5 points in September, reaching its highest level since April 2022, compared with -4.7 points in August. Economists had expected only a minimal improvement to -3.9 points. The positive value showed that industrial activity in the state of New York increased for the first time in almost a year. In particular, new orders improved, while the situation on the labour market remained weak and employment continued to fall slightly.

Lower inflation in Italy 

In the eurozone's third-largest economy, consumer prices rose by 0.2% month-on-month and by 1.1% year-on-year in August. In July, the annual inflation rate was still 1.3%. The deceleration was mainly due to a strong decline in prices of non-regulated energy products (-8.6%) and durable consumer goods (-1.8%). By contrast, regulated energy prices rose by around 14%, while prices for transportation services increased by almost 3%. Core inflation, excluding energy and food prices, remained stable at 1.9%.

Corporate and economic calendar

Corporate news in focus: Kingfisher Q2.

Economic data in focus: Germany ZEW Economic Sentiment; Canada Consumer Prices, USA Retail Sales, Industrial Production and the NAHB Housing Market Index.
 

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Publisher: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd., Glärnischstrasse 36, CH-8027 Zurich
Editor: Alessandro Fezzi
Source: LGT Bank (Switzerland) Ltd.

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